TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140267
Played Sep 17Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012811––––
Jiri Zuzanek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:27 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Zuzanek to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Jiri Zuzanek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 61 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Zuzanek at 56.4%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 26–26 Jiri Zuzanek Dead even across their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:27What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tazler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-26 in 52
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tazler 1719 vs Zuzanek 1627
Tazler
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tazler 20% vs Zuzanek 60%
Zuzanek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tazler 40% vs Zuzanek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tazler -1 · Zuzanek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tazler) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 1.73 / Zuzanek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tazler)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140267
Tazler1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 80 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it79% 63 of 80
Zuzanek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 111 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back32% 36 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTazler6wins
AwayZuzanek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTazler leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazler100%5 of 5
AwayZuzanek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler5Zuzanek5n = 10split evenly
S2Tazler4Zuzanek6n = 10Zuzanek took 6 of 10
S3Tazler7Zuzanek3n = 10Tazler took 7 of 10
S4Tazler4Zuzanek4n = 8split evenly
S5Tazler3Zuzanek2n = 5Tazler took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTazlerZuzanekT − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.040.7+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerZuzanekBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 721 vs 545 / 108454.4%50.3%392 / 721 vs 545 / 1084Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TazlerTazler 1.73/Zuzanek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Tazler · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zuzanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:30J. Tazler2791080J. Zuzanek341112113
LSep 16 · 10:30J. Tazler52911111292J. Zuzanek50118614113
LSep 16 · 08:59J. Tazler351051191J. Zuzanek3812114113
WSep 16 · 07:30J. Tazler5612111111113J. Zuzanek5014138962
WSep 1 · 13:30J. Tazler48141148113J. Zuzanek48128111162
WSep 1 · 12:30J. Tazler4213117113J. Zuzanek331171141
WAug 31 · 13:28J. Tazler361113123J. Zuzanek26511100
WAug 31 · 10:30J. Tazler4211812113J. Zuzanek367111081
LAug 31 · 08:58J. Tazler4788111192J. Zuzanek47111177113
WAug 31 · 06:00J. Tazler45114118113J. Zuzanek4561191182
J. Tazler10
WSep 17 · 08:00R. Wagner1.831171071J. Tazler1.8351112113WSep 17 · 07:00M. Regner1.671261261J. Tazler2.10101114113LSep 16 · 12:58J. Tazler2.001241041M. Vondrak1.73101112113WSep 16 · 12:00M. Vondrak1.61611731J. Tazler2.2011911113LSep 16 · 11:00V. Vejvoda1.67381111113J. Tazler2.1011118682LSep 16 · 10:30J. Tazler1.73911111292J. Zuzanek2.00118614113LSep 16 · 08:59J. Zuzanek2.0012114113J. Tazler1.731051191LSep 16 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2011890V. Vejvoda1.611311113WSep 16 · 07:30J. Zuzanek2.0014138962J. Tazler1.7312111111113LSep 16 · 06:00J. Tazler1.5711791172M. Klement2.25711117113
J. Zuzanek10
LSep 17 · 07:30J. Zuzanek1.83571161R. Wagner1.8311118113LSep 16 · 13:30J. Zuzanek1.8512111091V. Vejvoda1.8514912113WSep 16 · 12:30V. Vejvoda1.7366120J. Zuzanek2.001111143LSep 16 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.002350M. Vondrak1.731111113WSep 16 · 10:30J. Tazler1.73911111292J. Zuzanek2.00118614113WSep 16 · 08:59J. Zuzanek2.0012114113J. Tazler1.731051191WSep 16 · 08:30M. Klement1.5011711942J. Zuzanek2.50911911113LSep 16 · 07:30J. Zuzanek2.0014138962J. Tazler1.7312111111113LSep 16 · 06:30V. Vejvoda1.8381211113J. Zuzanek1.831110641LSep 1 · 13:30J. Tazler1.73141148113J. Zuzanek2.00128111162
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