Jakub Tazler vs Michal Vondrak 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13140396

Played Sep 16Finished

Jakub Tazler

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

12104111012411––

Michal Vondrak

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Michal Vondrak below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 4-11

Point 74 set 4, 4-11

74 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Tazler 9–20 Michal Vondrak Jakub Tazler has won 9 of their 29 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Tazler beat Vondrak 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Vondrak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vondrak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTazler 2.00 / Vondrak 1.73

Signal prob.45% / 55%

Edge (Vondrak)+1.6pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13140396

Tazler2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog50% won 98 of 196

Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 101

Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 55

Vondrak1.73

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite60% won 56 of 94

Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it71% 34 of 48

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeTazler5wins

AwayVondrak5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeTazler60%3 of 5

AwayVondrak60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Tazler5Vondrak5n = 10split evenly

S2Tazler4Vondrak6n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10

S3Tazler7Vondrak3n = 10Tazler took 7 of 10

S4Tazler4Vondrak4n = 8split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricTazlerVondrakT − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.137.8+0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricTazlerVondrakBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 717 vs 313 / 64554.4%48.5%390 / 717 vs 313 / 645Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vondrak

Tazler 2.00/Vondrak 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.3%

Vondrak · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Vondrak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 16 · 12:00J. Tazler4211911113M. Vondrak27611731

WSep 13 · 23:30J. Tazler351311113M. Vondrak2511680

LSep 1 · 10:30J. Tazler4053141172M. Vondrak521111127113

LAug 19 · 13:00J. Tazler35118881M. Vondrak4291111113

WAug 19 · 11:00J. Tazler538131011113M. Vondrak47111112942

LAug 16 · 19:30J. Tazler34591191M. Vondrak4111118113

WAug 12 · 17:30J. Tazler49111611113M. Vondrak391314571

WAug 12 · 15:30J. Tazler331111113M. Vondrak259880

LAug 9 · 19:30J. Tazler32691161M. Vondrak3911116113

LJul 18 · 21:00J. Tazler28114581M. Vondrak4181111113

J. Tazler10

WSep 16 · 12:00M. Vondrak1.61611731J. Tazler2.2011911113 LSep 16 · 11:00V. Vejvoda1.67381111113J. Tazler2.1011118682 LSep 16 · 10:30J. Tazler1.73911111292J. Zuzanek2.00118614113 LSep 16 · 08:59J. Zuzanek2.0012114113J. Tazler1.731051191 LSep 16 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2011890V. Vejvoda1.611311113 WSep 16 · 07:30J. Zuzanek2.0014138962J. Tazler1.7312111111113 LSep 16 · 06:00J. Tazler1.5711791172M. Klement2.25711117113 WSep 14 · 03:30J. Tazler2.0711119113M. Klement1.65751181 WSep 14 · 01:30J. Tazler2.001112113R. Wagner1.7391060 LSep 14 · 24:30M. Klement1.611011126123J. Tazler2.201281011102

M. Vondrak10

LSep 16 · 12:00M. Vondrak1.61611731J. Tazler2.2011911113 WSep 16 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.002350M. Vondrak1.731111113 LSep 16 · 10:00M. Vondrak2.00111177102V. Vejvoda1.73851111123 LSep 14 · 02:58M. Vondrak2.00511851R. Wagner1.7311911113 WSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113 WSep 14 · 01:00M. Sychra2.001011571M. Vondrak1.7312811113 LSep 13 · 23:30M. Vondrak1.5311680J. Tazler2.381311113 LSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113 LSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051 LSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180

Upcoming Matches

J. Tazler

Sep 17 · 06:30J. Tazler1.73J. Zuzanek2.00—Sep 17 · 07:00J. Tazler2.10M. Regner1.67—Sep 17 · 08:00J. Tazler1.83R. Wagner1.83—Sep 17 · 10:30J. Tazler1.73J. Zuzanek2.00—Sep 17 · 11:00J. Tazler1.83R. Wagner1.83—

M. Vondrak

Sep 17 · 14:00M. Vondrak1.91M. Klement1.80—Sep 17 · 15:30M. Vondrak1.73M. Sychra2.00—Sep 17 · 16:00M. Vondrak1.91V. Vejvoda1.80—

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Decision Summary

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Match Winner

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Decision Summary

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Match Winner

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