TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140446
Played Sep 17Finished
Richard Wagner
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1157111012711––
Jakub Tazler
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Wagner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Wagner above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Richard Wagner at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Richard Wagner 3–5 Jakub Tazler Richard Wagner has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:12What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Tazler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Tazler
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1717 vs Tazler 1684
Wagner
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 60% vs Tazler 40%
Wagner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 70% vs Tazler 30%
Wagner
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner +3 · Tazler +1
Wagner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.83 / Tazler 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wagner)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140446
Wagner1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Tazler1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeWagner3wins
AwayTazler5wins
1 of 8 to a deciderTazler leads 5–3, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagner75%3 of 4
AwayTazler100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner4Tazler4n = 8split evenly
S2Wagner4Tazler4n = 8split evenly
S3Wagner3Tazler5n = 8Tazler took 5 of 8
S4Wagner2Tazler2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricWagnerTazlerW − TBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match33.534.0−0.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 202 vs 391 / 72053.5%54.3%108 / 202 vs 391 / 720Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.83/Tazler 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 14 · 01:30R. Wagner2591060J. Tazler341112113
LAug 25 · 12:00R. Wagner4561281182J. Tazler521110119113
WAug 25 · 08:30R. Wagner341111123J. Tazler1734100
LAug 12 · 16:30R. Wagner239860J. Tazler331111113
LAug 12 · 12:30R. Wagner29731181J. Tazler4211119113
WAug 9 · 20:59R. Wagner361111143J. Tazler2989120
WAug 9 · 18:00R. Wagner3811115113J. Tazler25541151
LJul 14 · 15:30R. Wagner381110981J. Tazler4061211113
R. Wagner10
WSep 17 · 07:30J. Zuzanek1.83571161R. Wagner1.8311118113WSep 17 · 06:00R. Wagner1.6111118113M. Regner2.20581191WSep 14 · 02:58M. Vondrak2.00511851R. Wagner1.7311911113LSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113LSep 14 · 01:30J. Tazler2.001112113R. Wagner1.7391060WSep 14 · 24:00R. Wagner1.9111116113M. Sychra1.80971161WSep 13 · 23:00M. Klement2.38811981R. Wagner1.5311911113WSep 13 · 03:29R. Rose1.8331171182R. Wagner1.83119114113LSep 13 · 02:00R. Wagner1.404890M. Regner2.751111113WSep 13 · 01:00R. Wagner1.8311811113J. Louda1.83911441
J. Tazler10
WSep 17 · 07:00M. Regner1.671261261J. Tazler2.10101114113LSep 17 · 06:30J. Tazler1.7391080J. Zuzanek2.001112113LSep 16 · 12:58J. Tazler2.001241041M. Vondrak1.73101112113WSep 16 · 12:00M. Vondrak1.61611731J. Tazler2.2011911113LSep 16 · 11:00V. Vejvoda1.67381111113J. Tazler2.1011118682LSep 16 · 10:30J. Tazler1.73911111292J. Zuzanek2.00118614113LSep 16 · 08:59J. Zuzanek2.0012114113J. Tazler1.731051191LSep 16 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2011890V. Vejvoda1.611311113WSep 16 · 07:30J. Zuzanek2.0014138962J. Tazler1.7312111111113WSep 14 · 01:30J. Tazler2.001112113R. Wagner1.7391060
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.