TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140667
Played Sep 18Finished
Milan Klement
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1188111210711116
Martin Skakal
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 95 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Skakal at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 3–2 Martin Skakal Martin Skakal has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skakal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1608 vs Skakal 1724
Skakal
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 40% vs Skakal 60%
Skakal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 40% vs Skakal 60%
Skakal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement +1 · Skakal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skakal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 1.83 / Skakal 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skakal)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140667
Klement1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Skakal1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKlement3wins
AwaySkakal2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKlement leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement60%3 of 5
AwaySkakaln = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement5Skakal0n = 5Klement took 5 of 5
S2Klement3Skakal2n = 5Klement took 3 of 5
S3Klement2Skakal3n = 5Skakal took 3 of 5
S4Klement2Skakal2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKlementSkakalK − SBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match39.634.4+5.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 883 vs 77 / 14951%51.7%450 / 883 vs 77 / 149Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalKlement 1.83/Skakal 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 9 · 20:30M. Klement32115791M. Skakal4071111113
LAug 30 · 23:00M. Klement46111161082M. Skakal47581112113
WJul 19 · 01:30M. Klement45111112113M. Skakal33561481
WApr 11 · 09:30M. Klement4211911113M. Skakal36911971
WApr 11 · 08:30M. Klement331111113M. Skakal168440
M. Klement10
WSep 18 · 02:00M. Klement1.911112113T. Franek1.8031030WSep 18 · 24:00M. Regner1.8311511482M. Klement1.83311811113LSep 17 · 22:30V. Vejvoda2.10121268113M. Klement1.671010111192WSep 17 · 16:59M. Vondrak1.9189110M. Klement1.801111133LSep 17 · 16:30M. Klement2.0091112762M. Sychra1.731141011113LSep 17 · 15:00M. Klement1.616119101V. Vejvoda2.2011511123LSep 17 · 14:00M. Vondrak2.101112113M. Klement1.6771070LSep 16 · 09:30M. Klement1.65871191V. Vejvoda2.1011117113LSep 16 · 08:30M. Klement1.5011711942J. Zuzanek2.50911911113WSep 16 · 07:00M. Klement1.671111123V. Vejvoda2.1076100
M. Skakal10
WSep 17 · 23:30M. Skakal2.5011211113V. Vejvoda1.50411881LSep 17 · 22:00M. Skakal1.806111141T. Franek1.9111137113WSep 10 · 03:29J. Tazler2.10811751M. Skakal1.6711611113LSep 10 · 02:00M. Skakal1.57111179102M. Regner2.25661111123WSep 10 · 01:00M. Skakal2.0011115113M. Pikous1.73791161LSep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.801114113M. Skakal1.9161270WSep 9 · 22:30J. Tazler2.2010812101M. Skakal1.61121110123LSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal1.72411110J. Tazler2.001113133WSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791WSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590
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