TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140442
Played Sep 17Finished
Martin Skakal
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114211118118––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Skakal above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 66 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 62.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skakal 0–5 Viktor Vejvoda Martin Skakal has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:12What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vejvoda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Vejvoda
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skakal 1724 vs Vejvoda 1716
Skakal
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skakal 40% vs Vejvoda 80%
Vejvoda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skakal 60% vs Vejvoda 80%
Vejvoda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skakal -1 · Vejvoda +4
Vejvoda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkakal 2.50 / Vejvoda 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Vejvoda)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140442
Skakal2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 21 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back30% 10 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Vejvoda1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 163 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it92% 78 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it84% 107 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSkakal0wins
AwayVejvoda5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderVejvoda leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkakaln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVejvoda100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skakal1Vejvoda4n = 5Vejvoda took 4 of 5
S2Skakal0Vejvoda5n = 5Vejvoda took 5 of 5
S3Skakal3Vejvoda2n = 5Skakal took 3 of 5
S4Skakal0Vejvoda3n = 3Vejvoda took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricSkakalVejvodaS − VBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match32.638.0−5.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkakalVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 149 vs 464 / 88851.7%52.3%77 / 149 vs 464 / 888Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaSkakal 2.50/Vejvoda 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skakal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 31 · 03:30M. Skakal32691161V. Vejvoda3911116113
LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2571260V. Vejvoda361114113
LJul 18 · 22:30M. Skakal4611911962V. Vejvoda42511411113
LJul 18 · 19:00M. Skakal388811111V. Vejvoda4011115133
LMay 4 · 01:00M. Skakal228950V. Vejvoda331111113
M. Skakal10
LSep 18 · 01:00M. Klement1.83118127113M. Skakal1.83811101162LSep 17 · 22:00M. Skakal1.806111141T. Franek1.9111137113WSep 10 · 03:29J. Tazler2.10811751M. Skakal1.6711611113LSep 10 · 02:00M. Skakal1.57111179102M. Regner2.25661111123WSep 10 · 01:00M. Skakal2.0011115113M. Pikous1.73791161LSep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.801114113M. Skakal1.9161270WSep 9 · 22:30J. Tazler2.2010812101M. Skakal1.61121110123LSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal1.72411110J. Tazler2.001113133WSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791WSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590
V. Vejvoda10
LSep 18 · 24:30T. Franek2.1091111113V. Vejvoda1.67119951WSep 17 · 22:30V. Vejvoda2.10121268113M. Klement1.671010111192WSep 17 · 17:29V. Vejvoda1.80115711143M. Sychra1.91611119122WSep 17 · 16:00M. Vondrak1.91118871V. Vejvoda1.8061111113WSep 17 · 15:00M. Klement1.616119101V. Vejvoda2.2011511123LSep 17 · 14:30V. Vejvoda1.6711121311122M. Sychra2.103141113143WSep 16 · 13:30J. Zuzanek1.8512111091V. Vejvoda1.8514912113LSep 16 · 12:30V. Vejvoda1.7366120J. Zuzanek2.001111143WSep 16 · 11:00V. Vejvoda1.67381111113J. Tazler2.1011118682WSep 16 · 10:00M. Vondrak2.00111177102V. Vejvoda1.73851111123
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