TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139686
Played Sep 17Finished
Michal Vondrak
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116811811711––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 55.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vondrak 15–22 Viktor Vejvoda Michal Vondrak has won 15 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vejvoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-22 in 37
Vejvoda
Correct
gap of 7 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vondrak 1708 vs Vejvoda 1706
Vondrak
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vondrak 60% vs Vejvoda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vondrak 50% vs Vejvoda 70%
Vejvoda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vondrak +2 · Vejvoda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVondrak 1.91 / Vejvoda 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vejvoda)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139686
Vondrak1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 64 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back32% 23 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Vejvoda1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 163 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it92% 78 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it84% 107 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVondrak3wins
AwayVejvoda7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVondrak40%2 of 5
AwayVejvoda80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vondrak5Vejvoda5n = 10split evenly
S2Vondrak3Vejvoda7n = 10Vejvoda took 7 of 10
S3Vondrak4Vejvoda6n = 10Vejvoda took 6 of 10
S4Vondrak5Vejvoda3n = 8Vondrak took 5 of 8
S5Vondrak0Vejvoda3n = 3Vejvoda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVondrakVejvodaVondrak − VejvodaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.639.7−1.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVondrakVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 646 vs 461 / 88848.8%51.9%315 / 646 vs 461 / 888Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaVondrak 1.91/Vejvoda 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 10:00M. Vondrak46111177102V. Vejvoda47851111123
WSep 1 · 12:58M. Vondrak4181111113V. Vejvoda32118941
LSep 1 · 12:00M. Vondrak2481060V. Vejvoda341112113
LAug 16 · 16:00M. Vondrak426817111V. Vejvoda50111115133
LAug 1 · 13:30M. Vondrak4911991192V. Vejvoda45411118113
LAug 1 · 10:00M. Vondrak4611781192V. Vejvoda46711116113
LJul 28 · 21:00M. Vondrak29118100V. Vejvoda361311123
WJul 28 · 18:00M. Vondrak4311711143V. Vejvoda377117121
LJul 28 · 17:00M. Vondrak28631181V. Vejvoda4011117113
WJul 28 · 14:30M. Vondrak3811115113V. Vejvoda30861151
M. Vondrak10
LSep 17 · 16:59M. Vondrak1.9189110M. Klement1.801111133WSep 17 · 15:30M. Sychra2.00138111152M. Vondrak1.731111913113WSep 17 · 14:00M. Vondrak2.101112113M. Klement1.6771070WSep 16 · 12:58J. Tazler2.001241041M. Vondrak1.73101112113LSep 16 · 12:00M. Vondrak1.61611731J. Tazler2.2011911113WSep 16 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.002350M. Vondrak1.731111113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Vondrak2.00111177102V. Vejvoda1.73851111123LSep 14 · 02:58M. Vondrak2.00511851R. Wagner1.7311911113WSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113WSep 14 · 01:00M. Sychra2.001011571M. Vondrak1.7312811113
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 17 · 15:00M. Klement1.616119101V. Vejvoda2.2011511123LSep 17 · 14:30V. Vejvoda1.6711121311122M. Sychra2.103141113143WSep 16 · 13:30J. Zuzanek1.8512111091V. Vejvoda1.8514912113LSep 16 · 12:30V. Vejvoda1.7366120J. Zuzanek2.001111143WSep 16 · 11:00V. Vejvoda1.67381111113J. Tazler2.1011118682WSep 16 · 10:00M. Vondrak2.00111177102V. Vejvoda1.73851111123WSep 16 · 09:30M. Klement1.65871191V. Vejvoda2.1011117113WSep 16 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2011890V. Vejvoda1.611311113LSep 16 · 07:00M. Klement1.671111123V. Vejvoda2.1076100WSep 16 · 06:30V. Vejvoda1.8381211113J. Zuzanek1.831110641
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