TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139664
Played Sep 17Finished
Michal Vondrak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210117––––
Milan Klement
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Klement to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Milan Klement at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vondrak 20–22 Milan Klement Michal Vondrak has won 20 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:06What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Klement
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-22 in 42
Klement
Wrong
gap of 2 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vondrak 1697 vs Klement 1646
Vondrak
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vondrak 40% vs Klement 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vondrak 40% vs Klement 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vondrak +1 · Klement -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Klement)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVondrak 2.10 / Klement 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vondrak)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139664
Vondrak2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 64 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back32% 23 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Klement1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 109 of 195
Up 2–0, closes it91% 58 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it71% 79 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVondrak5wins
AwayKlement5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVondrak20%1 of 5
AwayKlement20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vondrak5Klement5n = 10split evenly
S2Vondrak4Klement6n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S3Vondrak6Klement4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S4Vondrak4Klement6n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S5Vondrak3Klement2n = 5Vondrak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVondrakKlementV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.743.3−1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVondrakKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 646 vs 449 / 88148.6%51%314 / 646 vs 449 / 881Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementVondrak 2.10/Klement 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vondrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak49115111572M. Klement51711517113
WAug 19 · 08:58M. Vondrak4681511123M. Klement4011136101
LAug 19 · 08:00M. Vondrak4211912642M. Klement529111011113
LJul 22 · 12:00M. Vondrak34117971M. Klement3851111113
WJun 24 · 15:00M. Vondrak44411711113M. Klement4711811982
WJun 2 · 18:00M. Vondrak46118511113M. Klement4671111892
LMay 12 · 06:30M. Vondrak29371181M. Klement4111118113
LApr 19 · 19:00M. Vondrak361111861M. Klement4381311113
WApr 14 · 07:30M. Vondrak50911118113M. Klement4711881192
WApr 12 · 21:28M. Vondrak4181111113M. Klement28117371
M. Vondrak10
WSep 16 · 12:58J. Tazler2.001241041M. Vondrak1.73101112113LSep 16 · 12:00M. Vondrak1.61611731J. Tazler2.2011911113WSep 16 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.002350M. Vondrak1.731111113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Vondrak2.00111177102V. Vejvoda1.73851111123LSep 14 · 02:58M. Vondrak2.00511851R. Wagner1.7311911113WSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113WSep 14 · 01:00M. Sychra2.001011571M. Vondrak1.7312811113LSep 13 · 23:30M. Vondrak1.5311680J. Tazler2.381311113LSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113LSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051
M. Klement10
LSep 17 · 15:00M. Klement1.616119101V. Vejvoda2.2011511123LSep 16 · 09:30M. Klement1.65871191V. Vejvoda2.1011117113LSep 16 · 08:30M. Klement1.5011711942J. Zuzanek2.50911911113WSep 16 · 07:00M. Klement1.671111123V. Vejvoda2.1076100WSep 16 · 06:00J. Tazler1.5711791172M. Klement2.25711117113LSep 14 · 03:30J. Tazler2.0711119113M. Klement1.65751181WSep 14 · 02:00M. Sychra1.67541321M. Klement2.10111111113WSep 14 · 24:30M. Klement1.611011126123J. Tazler2.201281011102LSep 13 · 23:00M. Klement2.38811981R. Wagner1.5311911113WSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113
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