TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139685
Played Sep 17Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13118111191113511
Michal Vondrak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Michal Vondrak below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 103 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 28–39 Michal Vondrak Martin Sychra has won 28 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vondrak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-39 in 67
Vondrak
Correct
gap of 11 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1604 vs Vondrak 1708
Vondrak
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 60% vs Vondrak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 60% vs Vondrak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +1 · Vondrak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vondrak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.00 / Vondrak 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Vondrak)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139685
Sychra2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 150 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back26% 46 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 99
Vondrak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it71% 35 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra4wins
AwayVondrak6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVondrak leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra75%3 of 4
AwayVondrak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra4Vondrak6n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S2Sychra4Vondrak6n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S3Sychra4Vondrak6n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S4Sychra4Vondrak6n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S5Sychra3Vondrak1n = 4Sychra took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraVondrakS − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.842.5−3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraVondrakBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1531 vs 315 / 64652.5%48.8%803 / 1531 vs 315 / 646Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VondrakSychra 2.00/Vondrak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Vondrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vondrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 01:00M. Sychra331011571M. Vondrak4212811113
LSep 9 · 18:30M. Sychra30971131M. Vondrak4011117113
WAug 28 · 08:00M. Sychra4211911113M. Vondrak37911981
WAug 16 · 18:30M. Sychra48711118113M. Vondrak4711791192
LAug 1 · 12:00M. Sychra33811951M. Vondrak3611311113
LJul 30 · 07:30M. Sychra46116111172M. Vondrak52911138113
LJul 29 · 12:59M. Sychra33511981M. Vondrak4111811113
WJul 29 · 12:30M. Sychra47119511113M. Vondrak4581111872
WJul 18 · 20:00M. Sychra491110611113M. Vondrak4381211482
LJul 18 · 17:30M. Sychra27831151M. Vondrak4211119113
M. Sychra10
WSep 17 · 16:30M. Klement2.0091112762M. Sychra1.731141011113WSep 17 · 14:30V. Vejvoda1.6711121311122M. Sychra2.103141113143LSep 17 · 13:30R. Urbaniec1.3311711113M. Sychra3.25511771LSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140WSep 17 · 11:00R. Wagner1.858640M. Sychra1.851111113WSep 17 · 10:30M. Sychra1.9151112113J. Zuzanek1.801191051LSep 16 · 03:30M. Regner1.68121013113M. Sychra2.0510121191WSep 16 · 02:30M. Sychra1.61111176113M. Sopko2.2068111192WSep 16 · 01:30M. Chlebecek2.10115491M. Sychra1.6751111113WSep 16 · 24:00M. Sychra1.5011119113M. Sobisek2.50761151
M. Vondrak10
LSep 17 · 16:59M. Vondrak1.9189110M. Klement1.801111133LSep 17 · 16:00M. Vondrak1.91118871V. Vejvoda1.8061111113WSep 17 · 14:00M. Vondrak2.101112113M. Klement1.6771070WSep 16 · 12:58J. Tazler2.001241041M. Vondrak1.73101112113LSep 16 · 12:00M. Vondrak1.61611731J. Tazler2.2011911113WSep 16 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.002350M. Vondrak1.731111113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Vondrak2.00111177102V. Vejvoda1.73851111123LSep 14 · 02:58M. Vondrak2.00511851R. Wagner1.7311911113WSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113WSep 14 · 01:00M. Sychra2.001011571M. Vondrak1.7312811113
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