TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13130055
Played Sep 16Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116118711611119
Martin Sopko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Martin Sopko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Martin Sychra at 56.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 25–16 Martin Sopko Martin Sopko has won 16 of their 41 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 16:01What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-16 in 41
Sychra
Correct
gap of 9 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1597 vs Sopko 1635
Sopko
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 40% vs Sopko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 30% vs Sopko 60%
Sopko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +2 · Sopko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sychra) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.61 / Sopko 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sychra)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13130055
Sychra1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 217 of 373
Up 2–0, closes it93% 99 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it80% 151 of 189
Sopko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 32 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra8wins
AwaySopko2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra83.3%5 of 6
AwaySopko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra6Sopko4n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S2Sychra7Sopko3n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S3Sychra7Sopko3n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S4Sychra4Sopko2n = 6Sychra took 4 of 6
S5Sychra3Sopko1n = 4Sychra took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraSopkoSychra − SopkoBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.034.4+4.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraSopkoBasisWin rate · lifetime799 / 1524 vs 165 / 35152.4%47%799 / 1524 vs 165 / 351Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraSychra 1.61/Sopko 2.20
Hit
What we said
56.1%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 18 · 19:30M. Sychra45711115113M. Sopko4811891192
WJul 18 · 15:00M. Sychra331111113M. Sopko219660
WJun 17 · 02:00M. Sychra331111113M. Sopko189360
WJun 7 · 18:30M. Sychra4614912113M. Sopko3912111061
LJun 7 · 14:30M. Sychra361358101M. Sopko45111111123
WJun 6 · 01:00M. Sychra47611811113M. Sopko4511911592
WMay 29 · 02:30M. Sychra46841211113M. Sopko41111110542
WApr 26 · 17:30M. Sychra331111113M. Sopko163670
LApr 26 · 16:30M. Sychra3881121162M. Sopko47117117113
WMar 17 · 20:30M. Sychra331111113M. Sopko247890
M. Sychra10
LSep 16 · 03:30M. Regner1.68121013113M. Sychra2.0510121191WSep 16 · 01:30M. Chlebecek2.10115491M. Sychra1.6751111113WSep 16 · 24:00M. Sychra1.5011119113M. Sobisek2.50761151LSep 15 · 23:00M. Regner1.831111113M. Sychra1.836970LSep 14 · 02:00M. Sychra1.67541321M. Klement2.10111111113LSep 14 · 01:00M. Sychra2.001011571M. Vondrak1.7312811113LSep 14 · 24:00R. Wagner1.9111116113M. Sychra1.80971161LSep 13 · 22:30J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805420LSep 13 · 20:59L. Tonar1.6731113113M. Sychra2.101191171LSep 13 · 20:00J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805990
M. Sopko10
WSep 16 · 03:00M. Sopko2.0011911143M. Sobisek1.738119121WSep 16 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.7312811692M. Sopko2.001011211113WSep 15 · 23:30M. Sopko1.2891111113M. Chlebecek3.50116791LSep 15 · 22:00M. Sopko2.389111161M. Regner1.5311138113LSep 12 · 03:30S. Kadavy1.7311119113M. Sopko2.00491171LSep 12 · 02:30M. Sopko1.8311711952S. Kadavy1.83511611113LSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790WSep 12 · 24:00M. Sopko1.731111113V. Cermak2.001860WSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123WSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek1.65118641M. Sopko2.1091111113
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