TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13138498
Played Sep 16Finished
Martin Sopko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1189111191412––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Sopko above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 85 set 4, 14-12
85 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sopko 14–22 Martin Sobisek Martin Sopko has won 14 of their 36 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sopko beat Sobisek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSopko 2.00 / Sobisek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sobisek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13138498
Sopko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 32 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Sobisek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 106 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it98% 60 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it84% 81 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSopko4wins
AwaySobisek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSopko50%2 of 4
AwaySobisek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sopko4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S2Sopko4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S3Sopko4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S4Sopko3Sobisek3n = 6split evenly
S5Sopko2Sobisek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSopkoSobisekSopko − SobisekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.939.0−4.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSopkoSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 352 vs 561 / 119146.9%47.1%165 / 352 vs 561 / 1191Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSopko 2.00/Sobisek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sopko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 01:00M. Sopko451011211113M. Sobisek4612811692
WSep 9 · 03:30M. Sopko4291111113M. Sobisek29118641
LSep 8 · 23:00M. Sopko258890M. Sobisek331111113
LAug 27 · 01:00M. Sopko4511811692M. Sobisek51911911113
LJun 7 · 19:30M. Sopko3611211662M. Sobisek48911611113
LJun 6 · 02:00M. Sopko199550M. Sobisek331111113
WJun 5 · 20:30M. Sopko42116311113M. Sobisek4991111992
LMay 28 · 23:30M. Sopko341111481M. Sobisek4113611113
LMay 21 · 03:30M. Sopko2861480M. Sobisek381116113
WMay 20 · 22:30M. Sopko331111113M. Sobisek227960
M. Sopko10
LSep 16 · 02:30M. Sychra1.61111176113M. Sopko2.2068111192WSep 16 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.7312811692M. Sopko2.001011211113WSep 15 · 23:30M. Sopko1.2891111113M. Chlebecek3.50116791LSep 15 · 22:00M. Sopko2.389111161M. Regner1.5311138113LSep 12 · 03:30S. Kadavy1.7311119113M. Sopko2.00491171LSep 12 · 02:30M. Sopko1.8311711952S. Kadavy1.83511611113LSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790WSep 12 · 24:00M. Sopko1.731111113V. Cermak2.001860WSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123WSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek1.65118641M. Sopko2.1091111113
M. Sobisek10
WSep 16 · 02:00M. Sobisek2.50131111113M. Regner1.50158841LSep 16 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.7312811692M. Sopko2.001011211113LSep 16 · 24:00M. Sychra1.5011119113M. Sobisek2.50761151LSep 15 · 22:30M. Chlebecek1.6711119113M. Sobisek2.10951191LSep 13 · 03:00M. Sobisek1.50912120M. Vizek2.501114143LSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.808111181D. Tuma1.9111613113WSep 13 · 01:30M. Vizek2.205670M. Sobisek1.611111113WSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062LSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek1.65118641M. Sopko2.1091111113
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