TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145682
Played Sep 17Finished
Richard Wagner
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611411––––
Martin Sychra
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Wagner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Wagner above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Richard Wagner at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Richard Wagner 3–6 Martin Sychra Richard Wagner has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:23What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Sychra
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1697 vs Sychra 1603
Wagner
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 80% vs Sychra 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 70% vs Sychra 40%
Wagner
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner +2 · Sychra +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.85 / Sychra 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wagner)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145682
Wagner1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Sychra1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeWagner3wins
AwaySychra6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSychra leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagner66.7%2 of 3
AwaySychra83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner3Sychra6n = 9Sychra took 6 of 9
S2Wagner4Sychra5n = 9Sychra took 5 of 9
S3Wagner3Sychra6n = 9Sychra took 6 of 9
S4Wagner2Sychra4n = 6Sychra took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricWagnerSychraW − SBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match35.739.2−3.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 205 vs 801 / 152753.7%52.5%110 / 205 vs 801 / 1527Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.85/Sychra 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 14 · 24:00R. Wagner3911116113M. Sychra33971161
LSep 5 · 16:00R. Wagner36911791M. Sychra4211911113
LAug 18 · 15:00R. Wagner2394100M. Sychra341111123
LAug 18 · 10:30R. Wagner5912131112112M. Sychra551411314133
WAug 8 · 11:30R. Wagner3811411123M. Sychra356118101
WAug 8 · 09:00R. Wagner44711114113M. Sychra4411951182
LAug 8 · 06:30R. Wagner258890M. Sychra331111113
LJul 3 · 11:00R. Wagner27116100M. Sychra361311123
LJul 3 · 07:30R. Wagner30116761M. Sychra4181111113
R. Wagner10
WSep 17 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57311741R. Wagner2.2511811113WSep 17 · 09:28R. Wagner1.9111136133J. Tazler1.8031111111LSep 17 · 08:00R. Wagner1.831171071J. Tazler1.8351112113WSep 17 · 07:30J. Zuzanek1.83571161R. Wagner1.8311118113WSep 17 · 06:00R. Wagner1.6111118113M. Regner2.20581191WSep 14 · 02:58M. Vondrak2.00511851R. Wagner1.7311911113LSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113LSep 14 · 01:30J. Tazler2.001112113R. Wagner1.7391060WSep 14 · 24:00R. Wagner1.9111116113M. Sychra1.80971161WSep 13 · 23:00M. Klement2.38811981R. Wagner1.5311911113
M. Sychra10
LSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140WSep 17 · 10:30M. Sychra1.9151112113J. Zuzanek1.801191051LSep 16 · 03:30M. Regner1.68121013113M. Sychra2.0510121191WSep 16 · 02:30M. Sychra1.61111176113M. Sopko2.2068111192WSep 16 · 01:30M. Chlebecek2.10115491M. Sychra1.6751111113WSep 16 · 24:00M. Sychra1.5011119113M. Sobisek2.50761151LSep 15 · 23:00M. Regner1.831111113M. Sychra1.836970LSep 14 · 02:00M. Sychra1.67541321M. Klement2.10111111113LSep 14 · 01:00M. Sychra2.001011571M. Vondrak1.7312811113LSep 14 · 24:00R. Wagner1.9111116113M. Sychra1.80971161
Upcoming Matches
R. Wagner
Nothing scheduled
M. Sychra
Sep 17 · 14:30M. Sychra2.10V. Vejvoda1.67—Sep 17 · 15:30M. Sychra2.00M. Vondrak1.73—Sep 17 · 16:30M. Sychra1.73M. Klement2.00—Sep 17 · 22:00M. Sychra1.91M. Skakal1.80—Sep 17 · 23:00M. Sychra2.00M. Regner1.73—Sep 18 · 24:30M. Sychra2.10V. Vejvoda1.67—Sep 18 · 02:00M. Sychra1.61M. Klement2.20—Sep 18 · 23:00M. Sychra—D. Tuma——Sep 19 · 24:00M. Sychra—P. Pycha——Sep 19 · 01:30M. Sychra—J. Holubec——
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