Richard Wagner vs Jakub Tazler 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13145503

Played Sep 17Finished

Richard Wagner

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

11313116111311––

Jakub Tazler

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingRichard Wagner above · Jakub Tazler below

Set 1 · 11-3

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 13-11

Point 79 set 4, 13-11

79 points played in total.

H2H Richard Wagner 3–6 Jakub Tazler Richard Wagner has won 3 of their 9 meetings.

Last 9 · 3–6Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Tazler beat Wagner 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWagner 1.91 / Tazler 1.80

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Wagner)+5.5pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13145503

Wagner1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog50% won 29 of 58

Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31

Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13

Tazler1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite60% won 80 of 134

Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45

Up 1–0, closes it79% 63 of 80

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeWagner3wins

AwayTazler6wins

1 of 9 to a deciderTazler leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWagner60%3 of 5

AwayTazler100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Wagner5Tazler4n = 9Wagner took 5 of 9

S2Wagner4Tazler5n = 9Tazler took 5 of 9

S3Wagner3Tazler6n = 9Tazler took 6 of 9

S4Wagner2Tazler3n = 5Tazler took 3 of 5

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home222%

3–1Four sets, home111%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away111%

1–3Four sets, away333%

0–3Straight, away222%

These 9 meetings

MetricWagnerTazlerW − TBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match33.734.6−0.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWagnerTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 203 vs 392 / 72153.2%54.4%108 / 203 vs 392 / 721Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Wagner

Wagner 1.91/Tazler 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Wagner · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Wagner won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record9

LSep 17 · 08:00R. Wagner351171071J. Tazler3951112113

LSep 14 · 01:30R. Wagner2591060J. Tazler341112113

LAug 25 · 12:00R. Wagner4561281182J. Tazler521110119113

WAug 25 · 08:30R. Wagner341111123J. Tazler1734100

LAug 12 · 16:30R. Wagner239860J. Tazler331111113

LAug 12 · 12:30R. Wagner29731181J. Tazler4211119113

WAug 9 · 20:59R. Wagner361111143J. Tazler2989120

WAug 9 · 18:00R. Wagner3811115113J. Tazler25541151

LJul 14 · 15:30R. Wagner381110981J. Tazler4061211113

R. Wagner10

WSep 17 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57311741R. Wagner2.2511811113 LSep 17 · 08:00R. Wagner1.831171071J. Tazler1.8351112113 WSep 17 · 07:30J. Zuzanek1.83571161R. Wagner1.8311118113 WSep 17 · 06:00R. Wagner1.6111118113M. Regner2.20581191 WSep 14 · 02:58M. Vondrak2.00511851R. Wagner1.7311911113 LSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113 LSep 14 · 01:30J. Tazler2.001112113R. Wagner1.7391060 WSep 14 · 24:00R. Wagner1.9111116113M. Sychra1.80971161 WSep 13 · 23:00M. Klement2.38811981R. Wagner1.5311911113 WSep 13 · 03:29R. Rose1.8331171182R. Wagner1.83119114113

J. Tazler10

WSep 17 · 08:00R. Wagner1.831171071J. Tazler1.8351112113 WSep 17 · 07:00M. Regner1.671261261J. Tazler2.10101114113 LSep 17 · 06:30J. Tazler1.7391080J. Zuzanek2.001112113 LSep 16 · 12:58J. Tazler2.001241041M. Vondrak1.73101112113 WSep 16 · 12:00M. Vondrak1.61611731J. Tazler2.2011911113 LSep 16 · 11:00V. Vejvoda1.67381111113J. Tazler2.1011118682 LSep 16 · 10:30J. Tazler1.73911111292J. Zuzanek2.00118614113 LSep 16 · 08:59J. Zuzanek2.0012114113J. Tazler1.731051191 LSep 16 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2011890V. Vejvoda1.611311113 WSep 14 · 01:30J. Tazler2.001112113R. Wagner1.7391060

Upcoming Matches

R. Wagner

Sep 17 · 11:00R. Wagner1.91J. Tazler1.80—Sep 17 · 11:00R. Wagner1.85M. Sychra1.85—Sep 17 · 12:30R. Wagner1.73J. Zuzanek2.00—

J. Tazler

Sep 17 · 10:30J. Tazler1.80J. Zuzanek1.91—Sep 17 · 11:00J. Tazler1.80R. Wagner1.91—Sep 17 · 12:00J. Tazler3.75R. Urbaniec1.25—Sep 18 · 14:30J. Tazler—M. Vondrak——

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Decision Summary

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Decision Summary

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Today's matches are already sealed.