TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147388
Played Sep 17Finished
Martin Skakal
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111113117411––
Tomas Franek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Skakal above · Tomas Franek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 74 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Martin Skakal at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skakal 1–0 Tomas Franek Tomas Franek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skakal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skakal 1727 vs Franek 1602
Skakal
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skakal 60% vs Franek 40%
Skakal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skakal 60% vs Franek 30%
Skakal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skakal +1 · Franek -3
Franek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skakal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Franek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkakal 1.80 / Franek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skakal)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147388
Skakal1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 33 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Franek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 21 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkakal1wins
AwayFranek0wins
Skakal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkakalFranekS − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.030.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkakalFranekBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 147 vs 82 / 16851.7%48.8%76 / 147 vs 82 / 168Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalSkakal 1.80/Franek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Franek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WApr 28 · 23:00M. Skakal4211911113T. Franek30911821
M. Skakal10
WSep 10 · 03:29J. Tazler2.10811751M. Skakal1.6711611113LSep 10 · 02:00M. Skakal1.57111179102M. Regner2.25661111123WSep 10 · 01:00M. Skakal2.0011115113M. Pikous1.73791161LSep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.801114113M. Skakal1.9161270WSep 9 · 22:30J. Tazler2.2010812101M. Skakal1.61121110123LSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal1.72411110J. Tazler2.001113133WSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791WSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590WSep 9 · 18:00D. Hofman2.0011118342M. Skakal1.73561111113LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161
T. Franek10
LSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113LSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152WSep 3 · 23:30M. Wagner1.67781161T. Franek2.1011118113WSep 3 · 22:30T. Franek1.911111113M. Sychra1.809990LSep 2 · 02:30T. Franek2.10761191V. Vejvoda1.6711113113LSep 2 · 01:30S. Kasnik1.4491411123T. Franek2.6311126101LSep 2 · 24:00T. Franek1.67591191M. Sychra2.1011113113WSep 1 · 23:00M. Klement2.10119781T. Franek1.6781111113LAug 14 · 02:00T. Franek2.25113471R. Urbaniec1.5771111113
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