TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147216
Played Sep 17Finished
Tomas Franek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1168111412411116
Michal Regner
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:21 and never touched — 65.8% is still 65.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Franek to win
65.8%
65.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Franek above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 94 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Franek at 65.8%
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Franek 10–3 Michal Regner Michal Regner has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:21What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Franek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-3 in 13
Franek
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Franek 1618 vs Regner 1687
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Franek 40% vs Regner 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Franek 40% vs Regner 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Franek +1 · Regner -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Franek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Franek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFranek 1.50 / Regner 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Franek)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147216
Franek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 12 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it54% 7 of 13
Regner2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 110 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFranek7wins
AwayRegner3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFranek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFranek75%6 of 8
AwayRegnern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Franek8Regner2n = 10Franek took 8 of 10
S2Franek6Regner4n = 10Franek took 6 of 10
S3Franek7Regner3n = 10Franek took 7 of 10
S4Franek3Regner4n = 7Regner took 4 of 7
S5Franek2Regner2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFranekRegnerF − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.935.6+7.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFranekRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 169 vs 508 / 105249.1%48.3%83 / 169 vs 508 / 1052Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FranekFranek 1.50/Regner 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Franek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Franek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 8 · 23:00T. Franek381281171M. Regner45101113113
WMar 19 · 01:30T. Franek331111113M. Regner196940
WFeb 26 · 24:00T. Franek4511815113M. Regner367111351
WFeb 19 · 24:00T. Franek49117911113M. Regner4091111542
WFeb 5 · 01:30T. Franek401514113M. Regner31131260
WDec 5 · 03:00T. Franek50111288113M. Regner39610111112
WNov 23 · 03:00T. Franek4291111113M. Regner26115551
LOct 31 · 24:30T. Franek541114111082M. Regner52716612113
WMar 26 · 03:00T. Franek331111113M. Regner188370
LMar 15 · 03:30T. Franek4581111872M. Regner50119811113
T. Franek10
WSep 18 · 24:30T. Franek2.1091111113V. Vejvoda1.67119951WSep 17 · 22:00M. Skakal1.806111141T. Franek1.9111137113LSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113LSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152WSep 3 · 23:30M. Wagner1.67781161T. Franek2.1011118113WSep 3 · 22:30T. Franek1.911111113M. Sychra1.809990LSep 2 · 02:30T. Franek2.10761191V. Vejvoda1.6711113113LSep 2 · 01:30S. Kasnik1.4491411123T. Franek2.6311126101LSep 2 · 24:00T. Franek1.67591191M. Sychra2.1011113113
M. Regner10
LSep 18 · 24:00M. Regner1.8311511482M. Klement1.83311811113LSep 17 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.91131011113M. Regner1.801112861WSep 17 · 08:30M. Regner2.0011811113J. Zuzanek1.73911791LSep 17 · 07:00M. Regner1.671261261J. Tazler2.10101114113LSep 17 · 06:00R. Wagner1.6111118113M. Regner2.20581191WSep 16 · 03:30M. Regner1.68121013113M. Sychra2.0510121191LSep 16 · 02:00M. Sobisek2.50131111113M. Regner1.50158841WSep 16 · 24:30M. Regner1.91111112113M. Chlebecek1.80971461WSep 15 · 23:00M. Regner1.831111113M. Sychra1.836970WSep 15 · 22:00M. Sopko2.389111161M. Regner1.5311138113
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