TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153752
Played Sep 19Finished
Michal Regner
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181141416118––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 83 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 60.1%
83 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 29–34 Viktor Vejvoda Michal Regner has won 29 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vejvoda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-34 in 63
Vejvoda
Wrong
gap of 5 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1662 vs Vejvoda 1663
Vejvoda
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 40% vs Vejvoda 60%
Vejvoda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 40% vs Vejvoda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +2 · Vejvoda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.25 / Vejvoda 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vejvoda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153752
Regner2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 112 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 71
Vejvoda1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 169 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it83% 111 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner4wins
AwayVejvoda6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner66.7%4 of 6
AwayVejvoda100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner6Vejvoda4n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S2Regner4Vejvoda6n = 10Vejvoda took 6 of 10
S3Regner2Vejvoda8n = 10Vejvoda took 8 of 10
S4Regner3Vejvoda3n = 6split evenly
S5Regner2Vejvoda2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerVejvodaR − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.940.3−0.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime512 / 1054 vs 467 / 89748.6%52.1%512 / 1054 vs 467 / 897Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaRegner 2.25/Vejvoda 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 07:30M. Regner47111114113V. Vejvoda36841681
LSep 18 · 01:30M. Regner218940V. Vejvoda331111113
WAug 24 · 23:00M. Regner45173113113V. Vejvoda46151131162
LAug 2 · 10:00M. Regner2392120V. Vejvoda361111143
LJul 19 · 03:04M. Regner198470V. Vejvoda331111113
WJul 19 · 02:00M. Regner62119911223V. Vejvoda52411116202
LJul 17 · 09:00M. Regner4511111491V. Vejvoda4613616113
WJul 17 · 06:00M. Regner351113113V. Vejvoda2141160
LJun 6 · 15:30M. Regner50127911112V. Vejvoda471011112133
LJun 4 · 07:30M. Regner52111471282V. Vejvoda535121114113
M. Regner10
WSep 19 · 08:30J. Zuzanek1.8388111242M. Regner1.831111610113WSep 19 · 06:30M. Vondrak1.5311771192M. Regner2.38911118113WSep 18 · 02:30M. Regner2.20124118113M. Skakal1.61101191162LSep 18 · 01:30V. Vejvoda1.671111113M. Regner2.108940LSep 18 · 24:00M. Regner1.8311511482M. Klement1.83311811113LSep 17 · 23:00T. Franek1.50118144113M. Regner2.50611121162LSep 17 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.91131011113M. Regner1.801112861WSep 17 · 08:30M. Regner2.0011811113J. Zuzanek1.73911791LSep 17 · 07:00M. Regner1.671261261J. Tazler2.10101114113LSep 17 · 06:00R. Wagner1.6111118113M. Regner2.20581191
V. Vejvoda10
LSep 19 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.739101181M. Vondrak2.0011125113LSep 19 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.801261131J. Zuzanek1.9114119113WSep 18 · 17:29M. Vondrak2.001181191V. Vejvoda1.7381113113LSep 18 · 16:00V. Vejvoda1.738611101M. Vondrak2.0011119123WSep 18 · 15:30J. Tazler2.2091111282V. Vejvoda1.61115511113WSep 18 · 14:00V. Vejvoda1.571211113D. Hofman2.2510560LSep 18 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.577960M. Skakal2.251111113WSep 18 · 01:30V. Vejvoda1.671111113M. Regner2.108940LSep 18 · 24:30T. Franek2.1091111113V. Vejvoda1.67119951LSep 17 · 23:30M. Skakal2.5011211113V. Vejvoda1.50411881
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