TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jiri Holubec
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11711711137111012
Daniel Tuma
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:27 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Holubec to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Holubec above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 10-10
Point 98 set 5, 10-10 — our read held Jiri Holubec at 64.5%
98 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jiri Holubec 1–0 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:27What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Holubec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Holubec 1628 vs Tuma 1599
Holubec
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holubec 60% vs Tuma 40%
Holubec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holubec 60% vs Tuma 40%
Holubec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holubec +1 · Tuma +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Holubec) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holubec form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolubec 1.40 / Tuma 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Holubec)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160111
Holubec1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 16 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Tuma2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 166 of 352
Down 0–1, comes back30% 55 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHolubec1wins
AwayTuma0wins
Holubec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHolubecTumaH − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubecTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 94 vs 772 / 147548.9%52.3%46 / 94 vs 772 / 1475Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubecHolubec 1.40/Tuma 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Holubec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 19 · 24:30J. Holubec331111113D. Tuma189450
J. Holubec10
WSep 20 · 15:30T. Holik2.5081181182J. Holubec1.50113118113LSep 20 · 14:00J. Holubec1.57881181J. Stolfa2.2511116113LSep 20 · 09:30J. Holubec1.578770M. Nohejl2.251111113WSep 20 · 08:30M. Regner1.8013470J. Holubec1.911511113WSep 20 · 07:30J. Holubec1.80111011113M. Nohejl1.91412991WSep 20 · 06:30M. Chlebecek1.8328110J. Holubec1.831111133LSep 19 · 21:29J. Zuzanek1.836111212113J. Holubec1.83115141092WSep 19 · 20:00J. Zuzanek1.67711121132J. Holubec2.101191013113WSep 19 · 19:00R. Pacha1.6710111011112J. Holubec2.10129126133LSep 19 · 18:30J. Holubec1.67117101162M. Chlebecek2.10511128113
D. Tuma10
WSep 20 · 15:00J. Stolfa1.915770D. Tuma1.801111113LSep 20 · 14:30D. Tuma1.83101111352T. Holik1.83129811113LSep 19 · 02:00P. Pycha1.57101111113D. Tuma2.25125911LSep 19 · 24:30D. Tuma2.639450J. Holubec1.441111113WSep 18 · 23:00D. Tuma2.7561111113M. Sychra1.40119991LSep 18 · 22:00J. Hradecky1.7381411113D. Tuma2.001112251WSep 18 · 02:59R. Krejci1.83411931D. Tuma1.8311811113WSep 18 · 02:30D. Tuma2.2011111010173A. Hlawatschke1.61691212152LSep 18 · 01:30V. Cermak1.6771111113D. Tuma2.10119771LSep 18 · 24:00D. Tuma1.61136100R. Krejci2.201511123
Upcoming Matches
J. Holubec
Nothing scheduled
D. Tuma
Sep 20 · 23:00D. Tuma—M. Sobisek——Sep 21 · 24:00D. Tuma—M. Vizek——Sep 21 · 01:30D. Tuma—P. Pycha——Sep 21 · 02:30D. Tuma—M. Chlebecek——Sep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma—T. Janata——Sep 21 · 19:30D. Tuma1.83T. Vinter1.83—Sep 21 · 20:00D. Tuma—J. Stolfa——Sep 21 · 22:30D. Tuma—R. Krejci——Sep 21 · 23:30D. Tuma—M. Vedmoch——Sep 22 · 24:30D. Tuma—P. Zmuda——
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