TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jiri Holubec
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711711––––
Matej Nohejl
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Holubec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Holubec above · Matej Nohejl below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Holubec at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:03What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Holubec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Holubec 1670 vs Nohejl 1629
Holubec
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holubec 80% vs Nohejl 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holubec 60% vs Nohejl 90%
Nohejl
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holubec +2 · Nohejl +3
Nohejl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Holubec) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolubec 1.57 / Nohejl 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Holubec)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13163609
Holubec1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 16 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Nohejl2.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubecNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 90 vs 92 / 18848.9%48.9%44 / 90 vs 92 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubecHolubec 1.57/Nohejl 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Holubec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 07:30J. Holubec43111011113M. Nohejl34412991
J. Holubec10
WSep 20 · 08:30M. Regner1.8013470J. Holubec1.911511113WSep 20 · 07:30J. Holubec1.80111011113M. Nohejl1.91412991WSep 20 · 06:30M. Chlebecek1.8328110J. Holubec1.831111133LSep 19 · 21:29J. Zuzanek1.836111212113J. Holubec1.83115141092WSep 19 · 20:00J. Zuzanek1.67711121132J. Holubec2.101191013113WSep 19 · 19:00R. Pacha1.6710111011112J. Holubec2.10129126133LSep 19 · 18:30J. Holubec1.67117101162M. Chlebecek2.10511128113LSep 19 · 02:59J. Holubec1.7341040P. Pycha2.001112113LSep 19 · 01:30J. Holubec1.807111081M. Sychra1.9111312113WSep 19 · 24:30D. Tuma2.639450J. Holubec1.441111113
M. Nohejl10
WSep 20 · 08:00M. Nohejl1.831311113M. Chlebecek1.8311560LSep 20 · 07:30J. Holubec1.80111011113M. Nohejl1.91412991WSep 20 · 06:00M. Nohejl2.201011117113M. Regner1.6112461132WAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113LAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113WAug 30 · 18:30M. Nohejl1.531111113T. Janata2.385450WAug 30 · 17:29M. Nohejl1.4411117113T. Janata2.63631131WAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:00M. Nohejl1.5711119113T. Janata2.25791151
Upcoming Matches
J. Holubec
M. Nohejl
Nothing scheduled
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