TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511116611811––
Tomas Holik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:18 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Holik to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Tomas Holik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Holik at 55.8%
69 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Holik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1540 vs Holik 1523
Stolfa
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 20% vs Holik 60%
Holik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 20% vs Holik 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa -1 · Holik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Holik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 2.10 / Holik 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Holik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160341
Stolfa2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 59 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back36% 24 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Holik1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 8 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaHolikBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 370 vs 61 / 13850.8%44.2%188 / 370 vs 61 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolikStolfa 2.10/Holik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Holik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Stolfa10
WSep 20 · 16:58J. Holubec1.9191111182J. Stolfa1.80114113113LSep 20 · 15:00J. Stolfa1.915770D. Tuma1.801111113WSep 20 · 14:00J. Holubec1.57881181J. Stolfa2.2511116113LSep 18 · 09:00M. Vizek1.6111118113J. Stolfa2.20751171LSep 18 · 08:30J. Stolfa1.8091161162M. Sobisek1.91113114113LSep 18 · 07:00J. Stolfa2.101279101M. Vizek1.67101111123LSep 18 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.731111113J. Stolfa2.008770LSep 17 · 08:58J. Stolfa1.809970D. Tuma1.911111113WSep 17 · 08:00D. Tuma1.83412611J. Stolfa1.83111011113LSep 17 · 07:00M. Volf2.1071111113J. Stolfa1.67118771
T. Holik10
WSep 20 · 17:29D. Tuma1.8389100T. Holik1.831111123LSep 20 · 15:30T. Holik2.5081181182J. Holubec1.50113118113WSep 20 · 14:30D. Tuma1.83101111352T. Holik1.83129811113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113WSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202LSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792LSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113LAug 17 · 12:59R. Wagner1.531111113T. Holik2.388680LAug 17 · 12:00R. Wagner1.6121111113T. Holik2.20117841LAug 17 · 11:00F. Pusch1.731311113T. Holik2.0011670
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