TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115113116––––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 47 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Richard Krejci at 68.5%
47 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 21–9 Vladimir Postelt Vladimir Postelt has won 9 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Krejci
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-9 in 30
Krejci
Correct
gap of 12 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1583 vs Postelt 1513
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 60% vs Postelt 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 30% vs Postelt 70%
Postelt
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci +1 · Postelt -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Krejci)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 1.44 / Postelt 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Krejci)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160050
Krejci1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 52 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Postelt2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 42 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrejci6wins
AwayPostelt4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrejci leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejci83.3%5 of 6
AwayPostelt75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci6Postelt4n = 10Krejci took 6 of 10
S2Krejci6Postelt4n = 10Krejci took 6 of 10
S3Krejci7Postelt3n = 10Krejci took 7 of 10
S4Krejci1Postelt3n = 4Postelt took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrejciPosteltK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.331.1+2.2per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 359 vs 427 / 80652.9%53%190 / 359 vs 427 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciKrejci 1.44/Postelt 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 23:00R. Krejci341211113V. Postelt2410770
WAug 31 · 22:30R. Krejci331111113V. Postelt144550
WAug 30 · 02:59R. Krejci331111113V. Postelt186930
WAug 30 · 02:30R. Krejci331111113V. Postelt228860
LAug 23 · 03:30R. Krejci4311119482V. Postelt46491111113
LAug 23 · 01:30R. Krejci198470V. Postelt331111113
LAug 15 · 02:30R. Krejci147250V. Postelt331111113
WAug 10 · 03:00R. Krejci51711139113V. Postelt48117111182
WAug 9 · 22:30R. Krejci4211811123V. Postelt346117101
LJul 17 · 01:30R. Krejci31941171V. Postelt3911116113
R. Krejci10
WSep 20 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.381115591R. Krejci1.5371711113LSep 18 · 02:59R. Krejci1.83411931D. Tuma1.8311811113WSep 18 · 02:00R. Krejci1.611111113F. Just2.205690LSep 18 · 01:00R. Krejci3.0091111532A. Hlawatschke1.36117811113WSep 18 · 24:00D. Tuma1.61136100R. Krejci2.201511123LSep 17 · 22:30V. Cermak1.671111113R. Krejci2.105240LSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113LSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860LSep 15 · 24:00R. Krejci3.00113115112A. Hlawatschke1.36711711133LSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950
V. Postelt10
LSep 20 · 22:30D. Kouble1.50611811113V. Postelt2.5011411532WSep 20 · 20:58V. Postelt1.6111711113P. Budinsky2.20911631WSep 20 · 20:00V. Postelt1.8311911113J. Stolfa1.83911581LSep 20 · 19:30R. Pavelka1.911111113V. Postelt1.807570WSep 20 · 18:00V. Postelt1.8071111113P. Budinsky1.91119561WSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540LSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113WSep 14 · 01:30P. Fojt2.759680V. Postelt1.401111113WSep 14 · 24:00V. Postelt1.6111415163J. Plachy2.2011113141WSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123
Upcoming Matches
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