TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1171517511911––
Richard Krejci
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 86 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 11–15 Richard Krejci Jaroslav Prokupek has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:46What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Krejci
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Krejci
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1462 vs Krejci 1575
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 20% vs Krejci 40%
Krejci
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 40% vs Krejci 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek -4 · Krejci -1
Prokupek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Krejci) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 2.38 / Krejci 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Krejci)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159113
Prokupek2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 93 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back16% 19 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Krejci1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 52 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek3wins
AwayKrejci7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrejci leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKrejci87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek2Krejci8n = 10Krejci took 8 of 10
S2Prokupek3Krejci7n = 10Krejci took 7 of 10
S3Prokupek5Krejci5n = 10split evenly
S4Prokupek4Krejci4n = 8split evenly
S5Prokupek2Krejci2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekKrejciP − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.842.6−5.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime667 / 1400 vs 189 / 35847.6%52.8%667 / 1400 vs 189 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciProkupek 2.38/Krejci 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 24:00J. Prokupek27731161R. Krejci4011117113
WJul 17 · 24:30J. Prokupek521110911113R. Krejci4571211872
WMay 30 · 23:00J. Prokupek47111111143R. Krejci428913121
LMay 13 · 02:00J. Prokupek215970R. Krejci331111113
LApr 24 · 03:00J. Prokupek3564111132R. Krejci45111148113
LApr 24 · 02:00J. Prokupek176650R. Krejci331111113
LJan 18 · 24:00J. Prokupek45812114102R. Krejci521110811123
LJan 15 · 24:30J. Prokupek31911561R. Krejci3911611113
LDec 25 · 24:00J. Prokupek34841481R. Krejci45111112113
WDec 11 · 04:00J. Prokupek5913111113113R. Krejci52151361172
J. Prokupek10
LSep 20 · 22:00P. Zmuda1.501111113J. Prokupek2.509870LSep 20 · 03:00R. Pavelka1.7391111143J. Prokupek2.001158121LSep 20 · 02:00J. Trefny1.7311411143J. Prokupek2.009117121LSep 20 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.205750D. Kouble1.611111113WSep 19 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.501112113P. Budinsky1.5071060WSep 19 · 22:00R. Pavelka1.611165101J. Prokupek2.2061111123LSep 18 · 21:29R. Pavelka1.73116118113J. Prokupek2.0051121152LSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113WSep 18 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.25881111113P. Budinsky1.5711117882WSep 18 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.73111141192J. Prokupek2.00139117113
R. Krejci10
WSep 21 · 24:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360LSep 18 · 02:59R. Krejci1.83411931D. Tuma1.8311811113WSep 18 · 02:00R. Krejci1.611111113F. Just2.205690LSep 18 · 01:00R. Krejci3.0091111532A. Hlawatschke1.36117811113WSep 18 · 24:00D. Tuma1.61136100R. Krejci2.201511123LSep 17 · 22:30V. Cermak1.671111113R. Krejci2.105240LSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113LSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860LSep 15 · 24:00R. Krejci3.00113115112A. Hlawatschke1.36711711133LSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950
Upcoming Matches
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