TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145501
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr Zmuda
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113811114911––
Matej Volf
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Matej Volf below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Petr Zmuda 1–3 Matej Volf Petr Zmuda has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Zmuda beat Volf 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volf)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmuda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmuda 2.00 / Volf 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Volf)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145501
Zmuda2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 16 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Volf1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 39 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZmuda1wins
AwayVolf3wins
Volf leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZmudan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayVolf75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zmuda0Volf4n = 4Volf took 4 of 4
S2Zmuda1Volf3n = 4Volf took 3 of 4
S3Zmuda2Volf2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricZmudaVolfZ − VBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match28.235.8−7.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmudaVolfBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 253 vs 209 / 40554.2%51.6%137 / 253 vs 209 / 405Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolfZmuda 2.00/Volf 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Volf · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 17 · 08:30P. Zmuda44101112113M. Volf351261071
LAug 10 · 23:00P. Zmuda1934120M. Volf361111143
LOct 31 · 07:30P. Zmuda217860M. Volf331111113
LAug 10 · 15:30P. Zmuda29861141M. Volf3911116113
P. Zmuda10
WSep 17 · 08:30M. Volf1.671261071P. Zmuda2.10101112113LSep 17 · 07:30P. Zmuda1.83913111092D. Tuma1.831111812113WSep 17 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.8311711652P. Zmuda1.83611811113WSep 15 · 13:30P. Zmuda1.7311412123M. Vesely2.0061110101WSep 15 · 12:30K. Darin3.0010760P. Zmuda1.361211113WSep 15 · 11:30P. Zmuda1.5311127123J. Bresky2.3881011101WSep 15 · 10:30M. Vesely1.8312131241P. Zmuda1.83141510113WSep 15 · 09:30P. Zmuda1.43101211113T. Varnuska2.601210741WSep 15 · 08:30P. Zmuda1.5781111113J. Prokupek2.25117891WSep 15 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.91115119113M. Vesely1.8091131172
M. Volf10
LSep 17 · 08:30M. Volf1.671261071P. Zmuda2.10101112113WSep 17 · 07:00M. Volf2.1071111113J. Stolfa1.67118771WSep 17 · 06:00D. Tuma1.83761551M. Volf1.83111113113LSep 15 · 03:05M. Volf1.61714891A. Hlawatschke2.20111211113WSep 15 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.2012137101M. Volf1.61141111123LSep 15 · 24:30M. Volf2.00811119102D. Tuma1.73117611123WSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950LSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 11 · 01:30M. Volf2.63134120M. Sobisek1.441511143WSep 11 · 24:30V. Cermak2.001081112112M. Volf1.731211910133
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