Oleksandr Leonenko vs Stepan Hryhorenko 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 21Finished

Oleksandr Leonenko

Home

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

11861113151416––

Stepan Hryhorenko

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Stepan Hryhorenko to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Stepan Hryhorenko below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 13-15

Set 4 · 14-16

Point 94 set 4, 14-16 — our read held Stepan Hryhorenko at 54.0%

94 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:05

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Hryhorenko

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Leonenko 1501 vs Hryhorenko 1510

Hryhorenko

Correct

both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Leonenko 40% vs Hryhorenko 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Leonenko 60% vs Hryhorenko 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Leonenko +1 · Hryhorenko +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hryhorenko)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hryhorenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLeonenko 1.91 / Hryhorenko 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Hryhorenko)+2.5pp

Setka Cup · #13166603

Leonenko1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog43% won 69 of 160

Down 0–1, comes back23% 19 of 84

Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52

Hryhorenko1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite46% won 19 of 41

Up 2–0, closes it71% 12 of 17

Up 1–0, closes it61% 14 of 23

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricLeonenkoHryhorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime428 / 826 vs 51 / 13351.8%38.4%428 / 826 vs 51 / 133Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.934.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Hryhorenko

Leonenko 1.91/Hryhorenko 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Hryhorenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Hryhorenko won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Leonenko10