Oleksandr Leonenko vs Oleh Volynets 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13142744

Played Sep 17Finished

Oleksandr Leonenko

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

811811119511––

Oleh Volynets

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Leonenko to win

63.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Oleh Volynets below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 5-11

Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Leonenko at 63.7%

74 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:31

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Volynets

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Leonenko 1462 vs Volynets 1443

Leonenko

Wrong

both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Leonenko 60% vs Volynets 40%

Leonenko

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Leonenko 50% vs Volynets 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Leonenko -1 · Volynets +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Leonenko) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Volynets form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLeonenko 1.83 / Volynets 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Leonenko)+4.0pp

Setka Cup · #13142744

Leonenko1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Volynets1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricLeonenkoVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 839 vs 333 / 61551.7%54.2%434 / 839 vs 333 / 615Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Leonenko

Leonenko 1.83/Volynets 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Leonenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Volynets won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Leonenko10