TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142743
Played Sep 17Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012911––––
Oleh Volynets
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 14–16 Oleh Volynets Valerii Kolesnykov has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolesnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-16 in 30
Volynets
Correct
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1599 vs Volynets 1423
Kolesnykov
Wrong
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Volynets 40%
Kolesnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 70% vs Volynets 30%
Kolesnykov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov +2 · Volynets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolesnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.73 / Volynets 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13142743
Kolesnykov1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 91 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 59 of 79
Volynets2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 18 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov7wins
AwayVolynets3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov80%4 of 5
AwayVolynets40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Volynets5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov6Volynets4n = 10Kolesnykov took 6 of 10
S3Kolesnykov6Volynets4n = 10Kolesnykov took 6 of 10
S4Kolesnykov2Volynets6n = 8Volynets took 6 of 8
S5Kolesnykov5Volynets1n = 6Kolesnykov took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovVolynetsK − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.240.3−0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 667 vs 332 / 61453.4%54.1%356 / 667 vs 332 / 614Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.73/Volynets 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volynets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov351211123O. Volynets22102100
WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov3961111113O. Volynets35119871
WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov54912119133O. Volynets481110511112
WAug 27 · 07:05V. Kolesnykov48961111113O. Volynets4811118992
LJun 16 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov4571111792O. Volynets46118511113
WJun 8 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov37111131113O. Volynets3946111172
LMay 7 · 06:05V. Kolesnykov23115431O. Volynets3741111113
LApr 30 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov227690O. Volynets331111113
WMar 17 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov49127127113O. Volynets491011101172
WMar 12 · 10:35V. Kolesnykov501111107113O. Volynets4687121182
V. Kolesnykov10
WSep 17 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov1.5011115113O. Osadchyi2.50371181WSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101LSep 15 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov2.63861181Y. Kovshun1.4411115113WSep 15 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.5710111211133V. Bilobrov2.25125144112LSep 15 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov3.00119331A. Troyan1.3681111113WSep 15 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov1.8311211113O. Karpenko1.83811591WSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123WSep 10 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov1.731111113V. Vietrov2.005250LSep 10 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov3.00781141A. Troyan1.3611116113WSep 10 · 07:35V. Kolesnykov2.2512411123D. Khairov1.5710118101
O. Volynets10
WSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123LSep 10 · 09:35O. Volynets1.57112691D. Khairov2.2541111113LSep 10 · 08:05O. Volynets1.83107100V. Vietrov1.831211123WSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets2.25111163113O. Osadchyi1.5754111192LSep 10 · 05:05O. Volynets2.1041160A. Troyan1.671113113LSep 8 · 12:05A. Troyan1.611111113O. Volynets2.208660WSep 8 · 10:35O. Volynets2.101111113Y. Kovshun1.675560LSep 8 · 08:35D. Khairov2.20131189113O. Volynets1.61119111152LSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761
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