TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130361
Played Sep 15Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11881113111210––
Ihor Emets
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:10 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Ihor Emets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 84 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 54.9%
84 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 33–21 Ihor Emets Ihor Emets has won 21 of their 54 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:10What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolesnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-21 in 54
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 12 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1580 vs Emets 1522
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Emets 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Emets 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov -1 · Emets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kolesnykov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.73 / Emets 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13130361
Kolesnykov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 89 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it74% 58 of 78
Emets2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 48 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov7wins
AwayEmets3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov75%3 of 4
AwayEmets33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov4Emets6n = 10Emets took 6 of 10
S2Kolesnykov9Emets1n = 10Kolesnykov took 9 of 10
S3Kolesnykov5Emets5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolesnykov3Emets7n = 10Emets took 7 of 10
S5Kolesnykov5Emets2n = 7Kolesnykov took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovEmetsK − EBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.241.7+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovEmetsBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 665 vs 256 / 50153.2%51.1%354 / 665 vs 256 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.73/Emets 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov471111104113I. Emets4467121182
WAug 27 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov47711115133I. Emets45114811112
WJul 23 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov4071111113I. Emets27112861
WJul 13 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov47911412113I. Emets48118111082
WJul 6 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov3911116113I. Emets33871171
WJun 29 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov49611119123I. Emets43116511102
LJun 22 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov4611119782I. Emets46671111113
LJun 17 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov41511114102I. Emets42112611123
WJun 9 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov501141110143I. Emets52911812122
LJun 3 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov36911881I. Emets3711411113
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 15 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov2.63861181Y. Kovshun1.4411115113WSep 15 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.5710111211133V. Bilobrov2.25125144112LSep 15 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov3.00119331A. Troyan1.3681111113WSep 15 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov1.8311211113O. Karpenko1.83811591WSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123WSep 10 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov1.731111113V. Vietrov2.005250LSep 10 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov3.00781141A. Troyan1.3611116113WSep 10 · 07:35V. Kolesnykov2.2512411123D. Khairov1.5710118101WSep 10 · 05:35V. Kolesnykov1.61111013113O. Osadchyi2.208121171LSep 7 · 10:30O. Osadchyi2.5011119143V. Kolesnykov1.509811121
I. Emets10
WSep 15 · 09:30I. Emets3.4031116113V. Bilobrov1.301121461LSep 15 · 08:30I. Emets3.2581191182O. Karpenko1.33118118113LSep 15 · 07:00I. Emets4.33411451Y. Kovshun1.2011211113WSep 15 · 05:00I. Emets1.3611512113A. Troyan3.006111081WSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 08:30I. Emets1.7341111113E. Populovskyi2.00114581LSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets1.501178101S. Solomko2.5051111123LSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572
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