TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142780
Played Sep 17Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711114911––
Oleksandr Leonenko
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Oleksandr Leonenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 77.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 7–2 Oleksandr Leonenko Oleksandr Leonenko has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:31What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kolesnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Kolesnykov
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1587 vs Leonenko 1450
Kolesnykov
Wrong
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Leonenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 70% vs Leonenko 50%
Kolesnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov +1 · Leonenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kolesnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Leonenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.28 / Leonenko 3.50
Signal prob.78% / 23%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142780
Kolesnykov1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 91 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 59 of 79
Leonenko3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 68 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKolesnykov7wins
AwayLeonenko2wins
5 of 9 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 7–2, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov100%4 of 4
AwayLeonenko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov4Leonenko5n = 9Leonenko took 5 of 9
S2Kolesnykov6Leonenko3n = 9Kolesnykov took 6 of 9
S3Kolesnykov6Leonenko3n = 9Kolesnykov took 6 of 9
S4Kolesnykov6Leonenko1n = 7Kolesnykov took 6 of 7
S5Kolesnykov3Leonenko2n = 5Kolesnykov took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricKolesnykovLeonenkoK − LBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match41.937.4+4.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovLeonenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 669 vs 434 / 84053.4%51.7%357 / 669 vs 434 / 840Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.28/Leonenko 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.5%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Leonenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WApr 23 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov441110111113O. Leonenko4031211682
WJan 9 · 08:35V. Kolesnykov4181111113O. Leonenko26112671
WNov 1 · 21:20V. Kolesnykov331111113O. Leonenko175480
WSep 29 · 12:05V. Kolesnykov4311115163O. Leonenko377511141
LApr 27 · 19:50V. Kolesnykov4081121182O. Leonenko511111108113
LApr 24 · 09:50V. Kolesnykov4591111862O. Leonenko45115711113
WApr 21 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov47661311113O. Leonenko46111111852
WApr 9 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov49711911113O. Leonenko4811911892
WApr 7 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov351112123O. Leonenko27710100
V. Kolesnykov10
WSep 17 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.281111113F. Voinarovskyi3.509880LSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov1.5011115113O. Osadchyi2.50371181WSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101LSep 15 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov2.63861181Y. Kovshun1.4411115113WSep 15 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.5710111211133V. Bilobrov2.25125144112LSep 15 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov3.00119331A. Troyan1.3681111113WSep 15 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov1.8311211113O. Karpenko1.83811591WSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123WSep 10 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov1.731111113V. Vietrov2.005250
O. Leonenko10
LSep 17 · 08:35O. Leonenko1.83881151O. Volynets1.8311119113LSep 17 · 07:35I. Emets1.4461111113O. Leonenko2.63118991WSep 17 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.381511113F. Voinarovskyi1.5313460WSep 12 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.20411111103S. Solomko1.6111511982WSep 12 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.6791111892O. Leonenko2.10118611113LSep 12 · 14:30V. Smyk2.2511311343O. Leonenko1.5791161112WSep 12 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.5011211113O. Tymofeev1.28411581LSep 11 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.00116971E. Populovskyi1.7391111113LSep 11 · 16:30A. Kovalenko2.20911119143O. Leonenko1.61116911122WSep 11 · 15:30O. Leonenko2.10111168133S. Solomko1.67661111112
Upcoming Matches
V. Kolesnykov
O. Leonenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.