TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142704
Played Sep 17Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118118––––
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Fedir Voinarovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 76.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 8–0 Fedir Voinarovskyi Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kolesnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-0 in 8
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1579 vs Voinarovskyi 1426
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Voinarovskyi 20%
Kolesnykov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
Kolesnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov -1 · Voinarovskyi -3
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kolesnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnykov form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.28 / Voinarovskyi 3.50
Signal prob.78% / 23%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142704
Kolesnykov1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 91 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 59 of 79
Voinarovskyi3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 27 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKolesnykov8wins
AwayVoinarovskyi0wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 8–0, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov100%6 of 6
AwayVoinarovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov6Voinarovskyi2n = 8Kolesnykov took 6 of 8
S2Kolesnykov5Voinarovskyi3n = 8Kolesnykov took 5 of 8
S3Kolesnykov7Voinarovskyi1n = 8Kolesnykov took 7 of 8
S4Kolesnykov3Voinarovskyi1n = 4Kolesnykov took 3 of 4
S5Kolesnykov3Voinarovskyi0n = 3Kolesnykov took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home450%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKolesnykovVoinarovskyiK − VBasisWins80+8in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match41.029.0+12.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovVoinarovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 668 vs 183 / 35853.3%51.1%356 / 668 vs 183 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.28/Voinarovskyi 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJun 17 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov351111133F. Voinarovskyi2476110
WJun 12 · 05:35V. Kolesnykov331111113F. Voinarovskyi195680
WJun 3 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov4211911113F. Voinarovskyi28711641
WMay 11 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov331111113F. Voinarovskyi157530
WMay 4 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov50118119113F. Voinarovskyi4491141192
WApr 16 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov518101111113F. Voinarovskyi3911125472
WApr 13 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov518111011113F. Voinarovskyi4111712382
WMar 30 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov331111113F. Voinarovskyi225980
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov1.5011115113O. Osadchyi2.50371181WSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101LSep 15 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov2.63861181Y. Kovshun1.4411115113WSep 15 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.5710111211133V. Bilobrov2.25125144112LSep 15 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov3.00119331A. Troyan1.3681111113WSep 15 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov1.8311211113O. Karpenko1.83811591WSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123WSep 10 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov1.731111113V. Vietrov2.005250LSep 10 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov3.00781141A. Troyan1.3611116113
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 17 · 07:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011121101O. Osadchyi1.6113147113LSep 17 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.381511113F. Voinarovskyi1.5313460LSep 16 · 18:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831171061V. Smyk1.8371112113WSep 16 · 16:30F. Voinarovskyi3.2511116113B. Zaika1.33481181LSep 16 · 15:00F. Voinarovskyi2.754680O. Tymofeev1.401111113WSep 16 · 13:30F. Voinarovskyi1.531111113O. Ovsiienko2.385570WSep 16 · 12:00F. Voinarovskyi1.33118811113A. Kurtenko3.2521111762WSep 10 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi1.441111113K. Klymenko2.639980LSep 10 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi1.4011126101O. Leonenko2.7581411123LSep 10 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi3.008780A. Martyniuk1.361111113
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