TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136696
Played Sep 16Finished
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1177111012611––
Vasiliy Smyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasiliy Smyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFedir Voinarovskyi above · Vasiliy Smyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Vasiliy Smyk at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Voinarovskyi 3–4 Vasiliy Smyk Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:20What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Smyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voinarovskyi 1479 vs Smyk 1350
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voinarovskyi 80% vs Smyk 20%
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voinarovskyi 60% vs Smyk 20%
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voinarovskyi +1 · Smyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Voinarovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoinarovskyi 1.83 / Smyk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Voinarovskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136696
Voinarovskyi1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Smyk1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVoinarovskyi3wins
AwaySmyk4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSmyk leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoinarovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySmyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voinarovskyi2Smyk5n = 7Smyk took 5 of 7
S2Voinarovskyi4Smyk3n = 7Voinarovskyi took 4 of 7
S3Voinarovskyi3Smyk4n = 7Smyk took 4 of 7
S4Voinarovskyi0Smyk6n = 6Smyk took 6 of 6
S5Voinarovskyi3Smyk0n = 3Voinarovskyi took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricVoinarovskyiSmykV − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match39.743.4−3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoinarovskyiSmykBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 355 vs 269 / 64451.6%41.8%183 / 355 vs 269 / 644Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoinarovskyiVoinarovskyi 1.83/Smyk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Voinarovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Smyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 9 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi44111138113V. Smyk4198111122
LSep 5 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi27771121V. Smyk3811115113
WAug 13 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi5710111312113V. Smyk53129111472
LAug 11 · 14:10F. Voinarovskyi2891090V. Smyk341112113
LAug 4 · 14:40F. Voinarovskyi4481111141V. Smyk4811813163
LJun 23 · 17:10F. Voinarovskyi321261131V. Smyk4314117113
WMay 18 · 09:50F. Voinarovskyi46121184113V. Smyk47107111182
F. Voinarovskyi10
WSep 16 · 16:30F. Voinarovskyi3.2511116113B. Zaika1.33481181LSep 16 · 15:00F. Voinarovskyi2.754680O. Tymofeev1.401111113WSep 16 · 13:30F. Voinarovskyi1.531111113O. Ovsiienko2.385570WSep 16 · 12:00F. Voinarovskyi1.33118811113A. Kurtenko3.2521111762WSep 10 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi1.441111113K. Klymenko2.639980LSep 10 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi1.4011126101O. Leonenko2.7581411123LSep 10 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi3.008780A. Martyniuk1.361111113WSep 10 · 07:20F. Voinarovskyi1.671114115113M. Stetsenko2.1081671162WSep 10 · 05:50F. Voinarovskyi1.531111122123O. Ovsiienko2.38251411102LSep 9 · 18:30O. Ovsiienko2.63641114133F. Voinarovskyi1.441111612112
V. Smyk10
LSep 16 · 16:00V. Smyk1.91571191A. Kurtenko1.8011116113LSep 16 · 14:30V. Smyk3.50671171B. Zaika1.2811116113WSep 16 · 12:30V. Smyk1.44117914113O. Ovsiienko2.63911111252LSep 12 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8314102V. Smyk1.831290LSep 12 · 17:00V. Smyk2.5087100O. Tymofeev1.501111123LSep 12 · 16:00V. Smyk2.3810570S. Solomko1.531211113WSep 12 · 14:30V. Smyk2.2511311343O. Leonenko1.5791161112LSep 12 · 12:30V. Smyk1.911111119102E. Populovskyi1.80138811123LSep 11 · 18:00A. Kovalenko2.0031111113V. Smyk1.73119991LSep 11 · 17:00V. Smyk2.50111231082O. Tymofeev1.509101112113
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