TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142910
Played Sep 17Finished
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131214117011––
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFedir Voinarovskyi above · Oleksandr Osadchyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 0-11
Point 79 set 4, 0-11 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 59.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Voinarovskyi 8–13 Oleksandr Osadchyi Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Osadchyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Osadchyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voinarovskyi 1418 vs Osadchyi 1502
Osadchyi
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voinarovskyi 40% vs Osadchyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voinarovskyi 50% vs Osadchyi 30%
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voinarovskyi -2 · Osadchyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Osadchyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osadchyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoinarovskyi 2.20 / Osadchyi 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Osadchyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13142910
Voinarovskyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 27 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Osadchyi1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 106 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it83% 76 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoinarovskyi4wins
AwayOsadchyi6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoinarovskyi75%3 of 4
AwayOsadchyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voinarovskyi4Osadchyi6n = 10Osadchyi took 6 of 10
S2Voinarovskyi3Osadchyi7n = 10Osadchyi took 7 of 10
S3Voinarovskyi5Osadchyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Voinarovskyi3Osadchyi2n = 5Voinarovskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoinarovskyiOsadchyiV − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.736.7−2.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoinarovskyiOsadchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 359 vs 442 / 86251%51.3%183 / 359 vs 442 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiVoinarovskyi 2.20/Osadchyi 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 07:05F. Voinarovskyi3411121101O. Osadchyi4513147113
LAug 29 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi26610100O. Osadchyi351112123
LAug 5 · 05:35F. Voinarovskyi25105100O. Osadchyi351211123
WJul 1 · 07:30F. Voinarovskyi56941814113O. Osadchyi581111161282
WJun 23 · 14:40F. Voinarovskyi331111113O. Osadchyi217860
LJun 4 · 09:20F. Voinarovskyi2511950O. Osadchyi351311113
LMay 18 · 11:20F. Voinarovskyi28116291O. Osadchyi4291111113
LApr 13 · 08:30F. Voinarovskyi4349111182O. Osadchyi44111138113
WMar 23 · 13:50F. Voinarovskyi4411119133O. Osadchyi317211111
WMar 16 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi331111113O. Osadchyi218760
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 17 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.281111113F. Voinarovskyi3.509880LSep 17 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.381511113F. Voinarovskyi1.5313460LSep 16 · 18:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831171061V. Smyk1.8371112113WSep 16 · 16:30F. Voinarovskyi3.2511116113B. Zaika1.33481181LSep 16 · 15:00F. Voinarovskyi2.754680O. Tymofeev1.401111113WSep 16 · 13:30F. Voinarovskyi1.531111113O. Ovsiienko2.385570WSep 16 · 12:00F. Voinarovskyi1.33118811113A. Kurtenko3.2521111762WSep 10 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi1.441111113K. Klymenko2.639980LSep 10 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi1.4011126101O. Leonenko2.7581411123LSep 10 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi3.008780A. Martyniuk1.361111113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 17 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov1.5011115113O. Osadchyi2.50371181LSep 15 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.4411681162S. Skhabitskiy2.63711117113WSep 15 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.531112113A. Kovalenko2.3891080LSep 15 · 08:05O. Osadchyi4.001011651A. Martyniuk1.2212611113WSep 15 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.731112113A. Kurtenko2.0061090WSep 15 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.401111113E. Populovskyi2.759870LSep 13 · 11:50O. Osadchyi3.756990A. Martyniuk1.251111113LSep 13 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.67115591O. Tymofeev2.1091111113LSep 13 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.61114671A. Kurtenko2.2061111113LSep 13 · 07:20O. Osadchyi1.33107111152E. Populovskyi3.25121134113
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