TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Vaclav Nohejl
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181214118711911
Jiri Moravek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:12 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl above · Jiri Moravek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 102 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl at 64.5%
102 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 1–1 Jiri Moravek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1471 vs Moravek 1438
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 20% vs Moravek 60%
Moravek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 40% vs Moravek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl -2 · Moravek +3
Moravek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.44 / Moravek 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Nohejl)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165615
Nohejl1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 30 days ago (Aug 22) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 47 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it75% 35 of 47
Moravek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 22 days ago (Aug 30) · back after a break
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 12 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNohejl1wins
AwayMoravek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricNohejlMoravekN − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.536.5+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlMoravekBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 157 vs 84 / 17457.3%48.3%90 / 157 vs 84 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.44/Moravek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Moravek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 21 · 18:00V. Nohejl50111211792J. Moravek52814811113
WMay 17 · 16:00V. Nohejl331111113J. Moravek216690
V. Nohejl10
WSep 21 · 19:30M. Stefek2.5010980V. Nohejl1.501211113LAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:30F. Briza1.67119139143V. Nohejl2.105111111122WAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:30T. Kolenic1.73111111133V. Nohejl2.001339111LAug 16 · 09:28J. Didi2.201111113V. Nohejl1.619390WAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113LAug 16 · 07:30V. Nohejl1.53111151182J. Didi2.38813118113LAug 16 · 06:30M. Tacinec2.63118128113V. Nohejl1.44911101192WAug 15 · 13:30V. Nohejl1.44119118113M. Stefek2.6371171182
J. Moravek10
LSep 21 · 19:00J. Moravek2.257911101R. Bartunek1.5711116123WAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:30J. Didi3.00116671J. Moravek1.3681111113WAug 30 · 19:30J. Moravek2.001111113M. Stefek1.737690LAug 30 · 18:30T. Regner1.441111113J. Moravek2.638790LAug 27 · 21:28M. Stefek1.831011611113J. Moravek1.8312311662WAug 27 · 20:30J. Moravek1.501111113P. Berdych2.505970WAug 27 · 19:00J. Moravek1.8391111113J. Framberk1.83114891LAug 27 · 18:00M. Stefek1.8311117113J. Moravek1.83791141LJul 14 · 20:58J. Moravek1.801413851J. Framberk1.91161111113
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