TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911811––––
Vaclav Nohejl
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:43 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Vaclav Nohejl below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 61 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl at 63.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 4–5 Vaclav Nohejl Martin Stefek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:43What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1366 vs Nohejl 1471
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 20% vs Nohejl 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 40% vs Nohejl 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -3 · Nohejl -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 2.50 / Nohejl 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Nohejl)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165704
Stefek2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 178 of 413
Down 0–1, comes back22% 49 of 224
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 134
Nohejl1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 47 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it75% 35 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeStefek4wins
AwayNohejl5wins
5 of 9 to a deciderNohejl leads 5–4, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek33.3%1 of 3
AwayNohejl50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek3Nohejl6n = 9Nohejl took 6 of 9
S2Stefek3Nohejl6n = 9Nohejl took 6 of 9
S3Stefek6Nohejl3n = 9Stefek took 6 of 9
S4Stefek5Nohejl2n = 7Stefek took 5 of 7
S5Stefek2Nohejl3n = 5Nohejl took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricStefekNohejlS − NBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match39.842.6−2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime595 / 1241 vs 90 / 15748%57.3%595 / 1241 vs 90 / 157Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlStefek 2.50/Nohejl 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 15 · 13:30M. Stefek4471171182V. Nohejl50119118113
LAug 15 · 12:00M. Stefek4211612492V. Nohejl518111011113
LMay 31 · 15:00M. Stefek2776140V. Nohejl381111163
LMay 29 · 18:00M. Stefek27781111V. Nohejl3711114113
WMay 17 · 15:30M. Stefek4051113113V. Nohejl371161191
WMay 2 · 17:30M. Stefek48771112113V. Nohejl47111161092
WMay 2 · 15:00M. Stefek331111113V. Nohejl247980
LApr 25 · 11:00M. Stefek4311781162V. Nohejl50911118113
WApr 14 · 19:00M. Stefek54991213113V. Nohejl491111101162
M. Stefek10
LSep 21 · 18:30R. Bartunek1.5061111113M. Stefek2.50117881LSep 21 · 02:58T. Regner1.831311113M. Stefek1.8311680LSep 21 · 02:30M. Stefek1.83111221142T. Regner1.83514117113WSep 21 · 01:30L. Sulava1.911111711122M. Stefek1.80137116143LSep 21 · 24:00M. Stefek1.671014115102R. Hasmanda2.101212811123LSep 20 · 23:00J. Pleskot1.911191011113M. Stefek1.8061112452WSep 19 · 13:30J. Strnad2.10106100M. Stefek1.671211123WSep 19 · 12:00M. Stefek1.33121011113P. Berdych3.251012861LSep 19 · 11:30J. Strnad2.75141111113M. Stefek1.40169551WSep 19 · 10:00M. Stefek1.3681111113V. Sr3.00119551
V. Nohejl10
LSep 21 · 20:00V. Nohejl2.0012740R. Bartunek1.731411113LSep 21 · 18:00V. Nohejl1.44111211792J. Moravek2.63814811113LAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:30F. Briza1.67119139143V. Nohejl2.105111111122WAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:30T. Kolenic1.73111111133V. Nohejl2.001339111LAug 16 · 09:28J. Didi2.201111113V. Nohejl1.619390WAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113LAug 16 · 07:30V. Nohejl1.53111151182J. Didi2.38813118113LAug 16 · 06:30M. Tacinec2.63118128113V. Nohejl1.44911101192
Upcoming Matches
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V. Nohejl
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