TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jan Pleskot
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1169111012114115
Martin Stefek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Stefek to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Pleskot above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Martin Stefek at 61.8%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pleskot 27–18 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 18 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stefek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-18 in 45
Pleskot
Correct
gap of 9 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pleskot 1255 vs Stefek 1422
Stefek
Wrong
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pleskot 0% vs Stefek 80%
Stefek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pleskot 30% vs Stefek 90%
Stefek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pleskot -6 · Stefek +2
Pleskot
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPleskot 1.91 / Stefek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stefek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158791
Pleskot1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 66 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 64
Stefek1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 19)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 116 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it76% 84 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePleskot6wins
AwayStefek4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderPleskot leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePleskot75%3 of 4
AwayStefek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pleskot4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S2Pleskot5Stefek5n = 10split evenly
S3Pleskot7Stefek3n = 10Pleskot took 7 of 10
S4Pleskot5Stefek4n = 9Pleskot took 5 of 9
S5Pleskot4Stefek3n = 7Pleskot took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPleskotStefekP − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.841.6+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPleskotStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 615 vs 594 / 123545.9%48.1%282 / 615 vs 594 / 1235Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekPleskot 1.91/Stefek 1.80
Miss
What we said
54%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pleskot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 08:00J. Pleskot31411881M. Stefek3711411113
WSep 9 · 06:30J. Pleskot52119129113M. Stefek47811101172
LAug 2 · 06:00J. Pleskot571011111692M. Stefek56127818113
WJul 31 · 01:00J. Pleskot527121111113M. Stefek4611145882
WJul 30 · 09:30J. Pleskot461121111113M. Stefek5013118992
WJul 30 · 06:30J. Pleskot47811611113M. Stefek3911511752
LJul 22 · 15:00J. Pleskot4312117672M. Stefek511081111113
WJul 18 · 03:30J. Pleskot331111113M. Stefek165740
LJul 18 · 02:30J. Pleskot4788111192M. Stefek44111138113
WMay 16 · 06:00J. Pleskot4011711113M. Stefek30811561
J. Pleskot10
LSep 20 · 22:00T. Regner1.50621111113J. Pleskot2.5011112482LSep 16 · 17:00L. Sulava2.00111117113J. Pleskot1.7361161162LSep 16 · 16:30J. Pleskot2.2576100T. Nohejl1.571111123LSep 16 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.83351191L. Sulava1.8311119113LSep 16 · 14:00T. Regner1.40914116113J. Pleskot2.75111271132LSep 14 · 17:30J. Framberk1.731110611113J. Pleskot2.0091211672WSep 14 · 16:00J. Pleskot2.001112511113J. Framberk1.7391411632LSep 14 · 15:30M. Barta1.91115311123J. Pleskot1.80611117102WSep 14 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.83118117113L. Havel1.8351181162WSep 11 · 09:04L. Sulava1.70911791J. Pleskot2.0211611113
M. Stefek10
WSep 19 · 13:30J. Strnad2.10106100M. Stefek1.671211123WSep 19 · 12:00M. Stefek1.33121011113P. Berdych3.251012861LSep 19 · 11:30J. Strnad2.75141111113M. Stefek1.40169551WSep 19 · 10:00M. Stefek1.3681111113V. Sr3.00119551WSep 18 · 13:30M. Stefek1.50941111113P. Kulhanek2.4511117942WSep 18 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda1.8378100M. Stefek1.831111123WSep 18 · 11:00P. Kulhanek2.3840121172M. Stefek1.531111107113WSep 18 · 10:30M. Stefek1.671211123Z. Drabek2.10103100WSep 18 · 08:59M. Stefek1.6751113113Z. Zikmunda2.101141191WSep 18 · 08:00M. Stefek2.101113113Z. Zikmunda1.6721180
Upcoming Matches
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