TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147496
Played Sep 18Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1121311118––––
Zdenek Zikmunda
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:19 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeZdenek Zikmunda to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Zdenek Zikmunda below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Zdenek Zikmunda at 55.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 1–1 Zdenek Zikmunda Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zikmunda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1366 vs Zikmunda 1367
Zikmunda
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 20% vs Zikmunda 40%
Zikmunda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 50% vs Zikmunda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -2 · Zikmunda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zikmunda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zikmunda form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 2.10 / Zikmunda 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Zikmunda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147496
Stefek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 178 of 415
Down 0–1, comes back23% 51 of 227
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 136
Zikmunda1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 8 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStefek1wins
AwayZikmunda1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricStefekZikmundaS − ZBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match39.540.5−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekZikmundaBasisWin rate · lifetime587 / 1229 vs 14 / 3447.8%41.2%587 / 1229 vs 14 / 34Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikmundaStefek 2.10/Zikmunda 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Zikmunda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 11 · 09:30M. Stefek29124130Z. Zikmunda401411153
WSep 11 · 07:30M. Stefek507111011113Z. Zikmunda4111712652
M. Stefek10
LSep 18 · 07:30Z. Drabek2.101111123M. Stefek1.6796100LSep 18 · 06:00M. Stefek2.75111211262T. Nohejl1.4013101110113WSep 17 · 21:00L. Sulava1.807118111M. Stefek1.9111211133LSep 17 · 20:30R. Hasmanda2.201211113M. Stefek1.6110450LSep 17 · 19:30M. Stefek1.83771491V. Kosar1.83111112113WSep 17 · 18:30L. Sulava1.9111991182M. Stefek1.80711116113WSep 17 · 03:28M. Stefek2.00481111113T. Regner1.7311118342WSep 17 · 02:00J. Framberk2.255840M. Stefek1.571111113LSep 17 · 24:30M. Stefek2.001178101T. Regner1.7391111123WSep 16 · 23:00M. Stefek2.00111110113M. Novak1.73961251
Z. Zikmunda10
LSep 18 · 07:00T. Nohejl1.6751112113Z. Zikmunda2.101181051LSep 18 · 06:30Z. Zikmunda1.835880Z. Drabek1.831111113WSep 11 · 13:30Z. Zikmunda1.40471111113M. Chalupnicek2.7511118792LSep 11 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda1.401112781P. Kulhanek2.7541411113WSep 11 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.107980WSep 11 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.201011781Z. Zikmunda1.6112811113WSep 11 · 09:30M. Stefek1.65124130Z. Zikmunda2.101411153WSep 11 · 08:30L. Sulava2.00111011692Z. Zikmunda1.73812611113LSep 11 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.2511712652M. Stefek1.577111011113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Pleskot1.8013137101Z. Zikmunda1.91151111123
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