TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140298
Played Sep 17Finished
Rotislav Hasmanda
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114115––––
Martin Stefek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRotislav Hasmanda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Rotislav Hasmanda at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 22–28 Martin Stefek Rotislav Hasmanda has won 22 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:41What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Stefek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-28 in 50
Stefek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1334 vs Stefek 1385
Stefek
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 20% vs Stefek 60%
Stefek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 20% vs Stefek 50%
Stefek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda +1 · Stefek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Stefek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasmanda form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 2.20 / Stefek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Stefek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140298
Hasmanda2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 57 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Stefek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 108 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it76% 80 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda2wins
AwayStefek8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStefek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda50%2 of 4
AwayStefek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S2Hasmanda6Stefek4n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S3Hasmanda3Stefek7n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10
S4Hasmanda3Stefek6n = 9Stefek took 6 of 9
S5Hasmanda1Stefek3n = 4Stefek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaStefekH − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.642.2−1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 781 vs 589 / 123448.8%47.7%381 / 781 vs 589 / 1234Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekHasmanda 2.20/Stefek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 11:00R. Hasmanda371081181M. Stefek4012116113
LAug 30 · 23:00R. Hasmanda381011891M. Stefek4012611113
LAug 27 · 23:00R. Hasmanda4411981152M. Stefek50811119113
LAug 26 · 24:30R. Hasmanda36811981M. Stefek4211911113
WAug 24 · 13:28R. Hasmanda45111166113M. Stefek4278111152
LAug 24 · 10:00R. Hasmanda4210151071M. Stefek48121312113
WAug 22 · 17:30R. Hasmanda341111123M. Stefek2358100
LAug 22 · 16:30R. Hasmanda46111161172M. Stefek50813117113
LJul 22 · 12:59R. Hasmanda3761110101M. Stefek3811312123
LJul 22 · 12:30R. Hasmanda4788111192M. Stefek49111188113
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 17 · 21:30R. Hasmanda2.45911841V. Kosar1.4811811113WSep 17 · 19:00R. Hasmanda1.3611117113L. Sulava3.00681171LSep 17 · 18:00V. Kosar1.6111117113R. Hasmanda2.20551191LSep 17 · 02:30M. Novak1.83411511113R. Hasmanda1.8311911872LSep 17 · 01:00J. Framberk1.91811911113R. Hasmanda1.8011411592LSep 16 · 23:30R. Hasmanda2.755770T. Regner1.401111113LSep 16 · 22:00R. Hasmanda2.0094100M. Stefek1.731111123LSep 10 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.281113113R. Hasmanda3.5061170WSep 10 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.61111107113V. Dolezal2.2089111152LSep 10 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.911081181M. Stefek1.8012116113
M. Stefek10
WSep 17 · 21:00L. Sulava1.807118111M. Stefek1.9111211133LSep 17 · 19:30M. Stefek1.83771491V. Kosar1.83111112113WSep 17 · 18:30L. Sulava1.9111991182M. Stefek1.80711116113WSep 17 · 03:28M. Stefek2.00481111113T. Regner1.7311118342WSep 17 · 02:00J. Framberk2.255840M. Stefek1.571111113LSep 17 · 24:30M. Stefek2.001178101T. Regner1.7391111123WSep 16 · 23:00M. Stefek2.00111110113M. Novak1.73961251WSep 16 · 22:00R. Hasmanda2.0094100M. Stefek1.731111123LSep 15 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.671311113M. Stefek2.1011970WSep 10 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.911081181M. Stefek1.8012116113
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