TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139432
Played Sep 17Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115115711119––
Rotislav Hasmanda
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:56 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeVaclav Kosar to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Rotislav Hasmanda below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 70 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Kosar at 58.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 8–7 Rotislav Hasmanda Rotislav Hasmanda has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kosar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1420 vs Hasmanda 1328
Kosar
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 80% vs Hasmanda 0%
Kosar
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 70% vs Hasmanda 20%
Kosar
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar +4 · Hasmanda -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kosar) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasmanda form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 1.61 / Hasmanda 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kosar)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139432
Kosar1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 51 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Hasmanda2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 57 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosar6wins
AwayHasmanda4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKosar leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosar80%4 of 5
AwayHasmanda60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar5Hasmanda5n = 10split evenly
S2Kosar5Hasmanda5n = 10split evenly
S3Kosar5Hasmanda5n = 10split evenly
S4Kosar4Hasmanda2n = 6Kosar took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosarHasmandaK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.934.4+1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 427 vs 381 / 78052.2%48.9%223 / 427 vs 381 / 780Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosarKosar 1.61/Hasmanda 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Kosar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 22:00V. Kosar331111113R. Hasmanda227690
LAug 22 · 01:00V. Kosar269980R. Hasmanda331111113
WAug 11 · 24:00V. Kosar4913817113R. Hasmanda4011111531
WJul 14 · 02:00V. Kosar371111153R. Hasmanda2759130
LJul 6 · 16:58V. Kosar28211781R. Hasmanda4111811113
WJul 6 · 16:30V. Kosar511011811113R. Hasmanda3512011842
WJun 30 · 01:00V. Kosar48151111113R. Hasmanda40175991
LJun 23 · 24:00V. Kosar166370R. Hasmanda331111113
WJun 18 · 13:30V. Kosar4011611123R. Hasmanda325116101
LJun 18 · 10:00V. Kosar31118481R. Hasmanda4181111113
V. Kosar10
WSep 15 · 03:30V. Dolezal1.558360V. Kosar2.351111113WSep 15 · 02:00V. Kosar2.751112113T. Regner1.4021090WSep 15 · 01:00V. Kosar2.0011911203M. Stefek1.738116181WSep 15 · 24:00R. Bartunek1.365101171V. Kosar3.0011127113LSep 14 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.3311913113V. Kosar3.257111181WSep 10 · 21:30P. Berdych1.5531191162V. Kosar2.30118117113WSep 10 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00122811113M. Novotny1.73101111762LSep 10 · 19:30P. Berdych1.911111113V. Kosar1.809790WSep 10 · 18:00V. Kosar1.611111113J. Strnad2.205390LSep 9 · 03:30A. Svoboda1.551111113V. Kosar2.308570
R. Hasmanda10
WSep 17 · 19:00R. Hasmanda1.3611117113L. Sulava3.00681171LSep 17 · 02:30M. Novak1.83411511113R. Hasmanda1.8311911872LSep 17 · 01:00J. Framberk1.91811911113R. Hasmanda1.8011411592LSep 16 · 23:30R. Hasmanda2.755770T. Regner1.401111113LSep 16 · 22:00R. Hasmanda2.0094100M. Stefek1.731111123LSep 10 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.281113113R. Hasmanda3.5061170WSep 10 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.61111107113V. Dolezal2.2089111152LSep 10 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.911081181M. Stefek1.8012116113LSep 10 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.301111113R. Hasmanda3.408680WSep 9 · 03:00M. Novak1.679127111R. Hasmanda2.10111011133
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