TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135739
Played Sep 16Finished
Rotislav Hasmanda
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711711––––
Tomas Regner
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:37 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Regner to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Tomas Regner below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Regner at 70.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 5–27 Tomas Regner Rotislav Hasmanda has won 5 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-27 in 32
Regner
Correct
gap of 22 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1360 vs Regner 1324
Hasmanda
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 20% vs Regner 60%
Regner
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 30% vs Regner 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda -2 · Regner -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 2.75 / Regner 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Regner)+1.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135739
Hasmanda2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 57 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 57
Regner1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 88 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it70% 60 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda2wins
AwayRegner8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda66.7%2 of 3
AwayRegner100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda3Regner7n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S2Hasmanda4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S3Hasmanda3Regner7n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S4Hasmanda3Regner3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaRegnerH − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.837.5−5.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 780 vs 486 / 98649.2%49.3%384 / 780 vs 486 / 986Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerHasmanda 2.75/Regner 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.6%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 03:02R. Hasmanda25831131T. Regner3811115113
LAug 27 · 22:00R. Hasmanda351347111T. Regner46111111133
LAug 26 · 03:00R. Hasmanda179260T. Regner331111113
WAug 25 · 23:30R. Hasmanda3911116113T. Regner24631141
LJun 24 · 23:30R. Hasmanda218670T. Regner331111113
LJun 2 · 24:30R. Hasmanda31611681T. Regner4011711113
LMay 12 · 01:00R. Hasmanda142660T. Regner331111113
LApr 13 · 11:00R. Hasmanda568111511112T. Regner58118179133
WApr 9 · 22:30R. Hasmanda341211113T. Regner1910270
LDec 19 · 14:12R. Hasmanda4696121182T. Regner511111108113
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 16 · 22:00R. Hasmanda2.0094100M. Stefek1.731111123LSep 10 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.281113113R. Hasmanda3.5061170WSep 10 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.61111107113V. Dolezal2.2089111152LSep 10 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.911081181M. Stefek1.8012116113LSep 10 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.301111113R. Hasmanda3.408680WSep 9 · 03:00M. Novak1.679127111R. Hasmanda2.10111011133LSep 9 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.441111123R. Hasmanda2.6396100LSep 9 · 01:00M. Novak2.101111133R. Hasmanda1.6785110WSep 8 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.3621211113L. Sulava3.001110781LSep 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.737690V. Kosar2.001111113
T. Regner10
WSep 17 · 24:30M. Stefek2.001178101T. Regner1.7391111123LSep 16 · 22:30T. Regner1.91138941J. Framberk1.80111111113WSep 16 · 17:30T. Nohejl1.7110990T. Regner2.001211113WSep 16 · 16:00T. Regner1.9111118113L. Sulava1.80481191LSep 16 · 15:30T. Nohejl1.831112133T. Regner1.83810110WSep 16 · 14:00T. Regner1.40914116113J. Pleskot2.75111271132LSep 15 · 02:00V. Kosar2.751112113T. Regner1.4021090WSep 15 · 24:30T. Regner2.63411711163V. Dolezal1.44119118142LSep 14 · 23:00T. Regner2.50111110772R. Bartunek1.50561211113LSep 14 · 22:00M. Stefek1.911111153T. Regner1.8088130
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.