TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13134239
Played Sep 16Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111412117611113
Jan Pleskot
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Pleskot to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Jan Pleskot below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 95 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Jan Pleskot at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 29–15 Jan Pleskot Jan Pleskot has won 15 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:06What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-15 in 44
Regner
Correct
gap of 14 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1312 vs Pleskot 1337
Pleskot
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 20% vs Pleskot 60%
Pleskot
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 10% vs Pleskot 50%
Pleskot
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -1 · Pleskot -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pleskot form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.40 / Pleskot 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Regner)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13134239
Regner1.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 88 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it70% 60 of 86
Pleskot2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 68 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner7wins
AwayPleskot3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner70%7 of 10
AwayPleskotn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner10Pleskot0n = 10Regner took 10 of 10
S2Regner5Pleskot5n = 10split evenly
S3Regner5Pleskot5n = 10split evenly
S4Regner3Pleskot5n = 8Pleskot took 5 of 8
S5Regner3Pleskot2n = 5Regner took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerPleskotR − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match43.138.5+4.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerPleskotBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 985 vs 290 / 62249.1%46.6%484 / 985 vs 290 / 622Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.40/Pleskot 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 02:58T. Regner331111113J. Pleskot147340
LJul 27 · 02:00T. Regner4311711592J. Pleskot45311911113
WJul 26 · 07:30T. Regner52129119113J. Pleskot44101151172
WJul 22 · 17:00T. Regner4211119113J. Pleskot34591191
WJul 22 · 14:00T. Regner3711411113J. Pleskot29511761
LJul 12 · 22:00T. Regner59141181792J. Pleskot581251119113
LJun 18 · 23:30T. Regner33134881J. Pleskot44111111113
WMay 24 · 08:59T. Regner49119711113J. Pleskot4471111692
WMay 24 · 06:00T. Regner50111189113J. Pleskot4889111192
WApr 10 · 02:00T. Regner331111113J. Pleskot258890
T. Regner10
LSep 16 · 15:30T. Nohejl1.831112133T. Regner1.83810110LSep 15 · 02:00V. Kosar2.751112113T. Regner1.4021090WSep 15 · 24:30T. Regner2.63411711163V. Dolezal1.44119118142LSep 14 · 23:00T. Regner2.50111110772R. Bartunek1.50561211113LSep 14 · 22:00M. Stefek1.911111153T. Regner1.8088130LSep 11 · 02:00F. Briza1.73111114123T. Regner2.007516101LSep 11 · 24:30T. Regner1.80121181232O. Vitrovyj1.911481110113LSep 10 · 23:00T. Regner2.5011811452R. Bartunek1.50911111113LSep 10 · 22:00K. Darin1.4011114113T. Regner2.75631191LSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113
J. Pleskot10
LSep 16 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.83351191L. Sulava1.8311119113LSep 14 · 17:30J. Framberk1.731110611113J. Pleskot2.0091211672WSep 14 · 16:00J. Pleskot2.001112511113J. Framberk1.7391411632LSep 14 · 15:30M. Barta1.91115311123J. Pleskot1.80611117102WSep 14 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.83118117113L. Havel1.8351181162WSep 11 · 09:04L. Sulava1.70911791J. Pleskot2.0211611113LSep 11 · 08:00M. Stefek1.8311411113J. Pleskot1.83411881WSep 11 · 07:00L. Sulava1.6011133822J. Pleskot2.157111111113LSep 11 · 06:30J. Pleskot1.8013137101Z. Zikmunda1.91151111123WSep 9 · 09:28J. Pleskot2.75111265113V. Dolezal1.40910111192
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