TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13134270
Played Sep 16Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311811911411––
Jan Framberk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:20 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeJan Framberk to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Jan Framberk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 78 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Jan Framberk at 68.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 3–6 Jan Framberk Tomas Regner has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Framberk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Framberk
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1333 vs Framberk 1409
Framberk
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 60% vs Framberk 80%
Framberk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 40% vs Framberk 60%
Framberk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +2 · Framberk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Framberk) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Framberk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.91 / Framberk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Framberk)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13134270
Regner1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 110 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back25% 34 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 69
Framberk1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 46 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeRegner3wins
AwayFramberk6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderFramberk leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegnern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFramberk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner2Framberk7n = 9Framberk took 7 of 9
S2Regner5Framberk4n = 9Regner took 5 of 9
S3Regner4Framberk5n = 9Framberk took 5 of 9
S4Regner3Framberk5n = 8Framberk took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricRegnerFramberkR − FBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match36.440.1−3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerFramberkBasisWin rate · lifetime487 / 989 vs 81 / 15049.2%54%487 / 989 vs 81 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FramberkRegner 1.91/Framberk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Framberk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Framberk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 7 · 23:30T. Regner409811121J. Framberk4411118143
LAug 6 · 21:00T. Regner194870J. Framberk331111113
LAug 6 · 19:30T. Regner33611971J. Framberk3911611113
LJul 29 · 16:00T. Regner27612541J. Framberk43111011113
LJul 22 · 15:30T. Regner37911891J. Framberk4011711113
LJul 14 · 16:00T. Regner4011381172J. Framberk50911118113
WJun 21 · 17:00T. Regner4171211113J. Framberk371110971
WJun 21 · 15:00T. Regner491111115113J. Framberk4613761192
WJun 21 · 11:30T. Regner4211911113J. Framberk29911811
T. Regner10
WSep 16 · 23:30R. Hasmanda2.755770T. Regner1.401111113WSep 16 · 17:30T. Nohejl1.7110990T. Regner2.001211113WSep 16 · 16:00T. Regner1.9111118113L. Sulava1.80481191LSep 16 · 15:30T. Nohejl1.831112133T. Regner1.83810110WSep 16 · 14:00T. Regner1.40914116113J. Pleskot2.75111271132LSep 15 · 02:00V. Kosar2.751112113T. Regner1.4021090WSep 15 · 24:30T. Regner2.63411711163V. Dolezal1.44119118142LSep 14 · 23:00T. Regner2.50111110772R. Bartunek1.50561211113LSep 14 · 22:00M. Stefek1.911111153T. Regner1.8088130LSep 11 · 02:00F. Briza1.73111114123T. Regner2.007516101
J. Framberk10
LSep 17 · 24:00M. Novak1.6191111113J. Framberk2.20116281LSep 14 · 21:30J. Framberk1.3015760M. Barta3.401711113WSep 14 · 20:30M. Novotny2.20981141J. Framberk1.6111117113WSep 14 · 19:30J. Framberk1.61511119113P. Bruzek2.2011891152WSep 14 · 18:30M. Barta2.75811481J. Framberk1.4011511113WSep 14 · 17:30J. Framberk1.731110611113J. Pleskot2.0091211672LSep 14 · 16:00J. Pleskot2.001112511113J. Framberk1.7391411632WSep 14 · 15:00L. Havel2.2012540J. Framberk1.611411113WSep 14 · 14:30J. Framberk1.501111113M. Barta2.507990LSep 8 · 02:59R. Bartunek1.6171112113J. Framberk2.201141071
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