TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13137306
Played Sep 17Finished
Martin Novak
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116112118––
Jan Framberk
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:27 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Novak to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Novak above · Jan Framberk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 69 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Martin Novak at 57.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Martin Novak 1–0 Jan Framberk Jan Framberk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Novak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Novak 1453 vs Framberk 1408
Novak
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novak 40% vs Framberk 80%
Framberk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novak 30% vs Framberk 70%
Framberk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novak -2 · Framberk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Novak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Framberk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovak 1.61 / Framberk 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Novak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13137306
Novak1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 22 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Framberk2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 27 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back29% 12 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNovak1wins
AwayFramberk0wins
Novak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNovakFramberkN − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.027.0+15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakFramberkBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 63 vs 82 / 15260.3%54%38 / 63 vs 82 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakNovak 1.61/Framberk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Novak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 17 · 24:00M. Novak4291111113J. Framberk27116281
M. Novak10
LSep 16 · 23:00M. Stefek2.00111110113M. Novak1.73961251LSep 9 · 03:00M. Novak1.679127111R. Hasmanda2.10111011133WSep 9 · 02:00M. Novak1.5717119113V. Kosar2.251561111WSep 9 · 01:00M. Novak2.101111133R. Hasmanda1.6785110LSep 9 · 24:00A. Svoboda1.401111113M. Novak2.757730WSep 8 · 22:30L. Sulava2.0010640M. Novak1.731211113LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661
J. Framberk10
WSep 16 · 22:30T. Regner1.91138941J. Framberk1.80111111113LSep 14 · 21:30J. Framberk1.3015760M. Barta3.401711113WSep 14 · 20:30M. Novotny2.20981141J. Framberk1.6111117113WSep 14 · 19:30J. Framberk1.61511119113P. Bruzek2.2011891152WSep 14 · 18:30M. Barta2.75811481J. Framberk1.4011511113WSep 14 · 17:30J. Framberk1.731110611113J. Pleskot2.0091211672LSep 14 · 16:00J. Pleskot2.001112511113J. Framberk1.7391411632WSep 14 · 15:00L. Havel2.2012540J. Framberk1.611411113WSep 14 · 14:30J. Framberk1.501111113M. Barta2.507990LSep 8 · 02:59R. Bartunek1.6171112113J. Framberk2.201141071
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