TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126248
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Framberk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511118119911115
Petr Bruzek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJan Framberk to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Framberk above · Petr Bruzek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 91 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jan Framberk at 57.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jan Framberk 2–1 Petr Bruzek Petr Bruzek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Framberk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Framberk 1406 vs Bruzek 1307
Framberk
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Framberk 80% vs Bruzek 20%
Framberk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Framberk 50% vs Bruzek 10%
Framberk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Framberk +2 · Bruzek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Framberk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bruzek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFramberk 1.61 / Bruzek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Framberk)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126248
Framberk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 40 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Bruzek2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog37% won 28 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFramberk2wins
AwayBruzek1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderFramberk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Framberk1Bruzek2n = 3Bruzek took 2 of 3
S2Framberk1Bruzek2n = 3Bruzek took 2 of 3
S3Framberk3Bruzek0n = 3Framberk took 3 of 3
S4Framberk3Bruzek0n = 3Framberk took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricFramberkBruzekF − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.335.0+8.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFramberkBruzekBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 147 vs 178 / 38553.7%46.2%79 / 147 vs 178 / 385Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FramberkFramberk 1.61/Bruzek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Framberk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Framberk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 14 · 14:30J. Framberk45111211113P. Bruzek37914861
LJun 14 · 21:30J. Framberk4577111192P. Bruzek45111166113
WJun 14 · 18:30J. Framberk4071111113P. Bruzek23115521
J. Framberk10
WSep 14 · 18:30M. Barta2.75811481J. Framberk1.4011511113WSep 14 · 17:30J. Framberk1.731110611113J. Pleskot2.0091211672LSep 14 · 16:00J. Pleskot2.001112511113J. Framberk1.7391411632WSep 14 · 15:00L. Havel2.2012540J. Framberk1.611411113WSep 14 · 14:30J. Framberk1.501111113M. Barta2.507990LSep 8 · 02:59R. Bartunek1.6171112113J. Framberk2.201141071LSep 8 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.73151311123J. Framberk2.0013157101LSep 8 · 01:00V. Dolezal1.4011117113J. Framberk2.75871191WSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk2.0011118143T. Regner1.739811121LSep 7 · 22:00J. Framberk2.00105100M. Stefek1.731211123
P. Bruzek10
WSep 14 · 18:00P. Bruzek1.5781111113M. Novotny2.25115791LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100LSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680
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