TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13132991
Played Sep 15Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811311611––––
Vaclav Kosar
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:23 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Vaclav Kosar below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 65.7%
50 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 6–2 Vaclav Kosar Vaclav Kosar has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Dolezal beat Kosar 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Dolezal
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1410 vs Kosar 1420
Kosar
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 80% vs Kosar 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 80% vs Kosar 60%
Dolezal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +1 · Kosar +3
Kosar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.55 / Kosar 2.35
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Dolezal)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13132991
Dolezal1.55
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 136 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 101 of 122
Kosar2.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 58 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back31% 20 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeDolezal6wins
AwayKosar2wins
Dolezal leads 6–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal85.7%6 of 7
AwayKosarn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal7Kosar1n = 8Dolezal took 7 of 8
S2Dolezal5Kosar3n = 8Dolezal took 5 of 8
S3Dolezal4Kosar4n = 8split evenly
S4Dolezal3Kosar1n = 4Dolezal took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricDolezalKosarD − KBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match36.030.9+5.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalKosarBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 778 vs 223 / 42749.4%52.2%384 / 778 vs 223 / 427Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.55/Kosar 2.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 15 · 03:30V. Dolezal178360V. Kosar331111113
WSep 14 · 22:30V. Dolezal4411913113V. Kosar377111181
WAug 8 · 24:00V. Dolezal4312119113V. Kosar391091191
WAug 5 · 10:30V. Dolezal45111310113V. Kosar419111291
WJul 3 · 18:00V. Dolezal331111113V. Kosar184590
WJun 3 · 18:00V. Dolezal331111113V. Kosar142660
WJan 9 · 14:30V. Dolezal341112113V. Kosar2481060
LJan 9 · 13:00V. Dolezal391191181V. Kosar4161113113
V. Dolezal10
WSep 15 · 01:30V. Dolezal1.57411311113R. Bartunek2.2511311692LSep 15 · 24:30T. Regner2.63411711163V. Dolezal1.44119118142WSep 14 · 23:30M. Stefek2.6366111172V. Dolezal1.44111177113WSep 14 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.3311913113V. Kosar3.257111181WSep 13 · 13:29V. Dolezal2.6371111113D. Barton1.44116521LSep 13 · 12:30V. Dolezal2.3871161182D. Barton1.53119115113WSep 13 · 11:00V. Dolezal1.4411611113M. Stefek2.63911361WSep 13 · 10:00M. Ulrych2.007370V. Dolezal1.731111113WSep 13 · 09:07M. Stefek10.0043111632V. Dolezal1.031111914113WSep 13 · 08:30M. Stefek2.75411118132V. Dolezal1.40115511153
V. Kosar10
WSep 15 · 02:00V. Kosar2.751112113T. Regner1.4021090WSep 15 · 01:00V. Kosar2.0011911203M. Stefek1.738116181WSep 15 · 24:00R. Bartunek1.365101171V. Kosar3.0011127113LSep 14 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.3311913113V. Kosar3.257111181WSep 10 · 21:30P. Berdych1.5531191162V. Kosar2.30118117113WSep 10 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00122811113M. Novotny1.73101111762LSep 10 · 19:30P. Berdych1.911111113V. Kosar1.809790WSep 10 · 18:00V. Kosar1.611111113J. Strnad2.205390LSep 9 · 03:30A. Svoboda1.551111113V. Kosar2.308570LSep 9 · 02:00M. Novak1.5717119113V. Kosar2.251561111
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