TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128712
Played Sep 15Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411113311116119
Radek Bartunek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 80 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 59.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 20–12 Radek Bartunek Radek Bartunek has won 12 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-12 in 32
Dolezal
Correct
gap of 8 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1402 vs Bartunek 1406
Bartunek
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 60% vs Bartunek 20%
Dolezal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 70% vs Bartunek 50%
Dolezal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal -1 · Bartunek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.57 / Bartunek 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Dolezal)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128712
Dolezal1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 136 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 101 of 122
Bartunek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 45 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal7wins
AwayBartunek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal71.4%5 of 7
AwayBartunek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal7Bartunek3n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S2Dolezal6Bartunek4n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S3Dolezal3Bartunek7n = 10Bartunek took 7 of 10
S4Dolezal7Bartunek2n = 9Dolezal took 7 of 9
S5Dolezal2Bartunek1n = 3Dolezal took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalBartunekD − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.038.1+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 776 vs 340 / 66049.4%51.5%383 / 776 vs 340 / 660Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.57/Bartunek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 24:00V. Dolezal3811511113R. Bartunek30611671
LSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal34119591R. Bartunek3851111113
WSep 2 · 18:00V. Dolezal541311811113R. Bartunek4315311862
LAug 21 · 03:07V. Dolezal54316121492R. Bartunek6211141412113
WAug 21 · 02:30V. Dolezal4371411113R. Bartunek331112731
WJun 6 · 24:00V. Dolezal341111123R. Bartunek2468100
LMay 18 · 21:00V. Dolezal28114761R. Bartunek3741111113
WMay 18 · 19:30V. Dolezal49119711113R. Bartunek4691111962
WMay 15 · 22:00V. Dolezal4111118113R. Bartunek31471191
WMay 6 · 16:00V. Dolezal4513129113R. Bartunek3711101151
V. Dolezal10
LSep 15 · 24:30T. Regner2.63411711163V. Dolezal1.44119118142WSep 14 · 23:30M. Stefek2.6366111172V. Dolezal1.44111177113WSep 14 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.3311913113V. Kosar3.257111181WSep 13 · 13:29V. Dolezal2.6371111113D. Barton1.44116521LSep 13 · 12:30V. Dolezal2.3871161182D. Barton1.53119115113WSep 13 · 11:00V. Dolezal1.4411611113M. Stefek2.63911361WSep 13 · 10:00M. Ulrych2.007370V. Dolezal1.731111113WSep 13 · 09:07M. Stefek10.0043111632V. Dolezal1.031111914113WSep 13 · 08:30M. Stefek2.75411118132V. Dolezal1.40115511153LSep 13 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.389141351D. Barton1.53111611113
R. Bartunek10
WSep 15 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.8311811113M. Stefek1.83311741LSep 15 · 24:00R. Bartunek1.365101171V. Kosar3.0011127113WSep 14 · 23:00T. Regner2.50111110772R. Bartunek1.50561211113LSep 11 · 03:00O. Vitrovyj2.381111133R. Bartunek1.5356110LSep 11 · 02:30R. Bartunek2.6371240K. Darin1.441114113LSep 11 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj2.75111222113R. Bartunek1.406102491LSep 11 · 24:00R. Bartunek4.003780F. Briza1.221111113WSep 10 · 23:00T. Regner2.5011811452R. Bartunek1.50911111113WSep 8 · 02:59R. Bartunek1.6171112113J. Framberk2.201141071WSep 8 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.73151311123J. Framberk2.0013157101
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