TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13127921
Played Sep 15Finished
Radek Bartunek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113811117114––
Martin Stefek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Stefek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 66 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Martin Stefek at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 9–10 Martin Stefek Radek Bartunek has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:00What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stefek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1395 vs Stefek 1354
Bartunek
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 20% vs Stefek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 40% vs Stefek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek -2 · Stefek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bartunek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 1.83 / Stefek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bartunek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13127921
Bartunek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Stefek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartunek4wins
AwayStefek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStefek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunek100%4 of 4
AwayStefek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S2Bartunek3Stefek7n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10
S3Bartunek5Stefek5n = 10split evenly
S4Bartunek5Stefek0n = 5Bartunek took 5 of 5
S5Bartunek1Stefek3n = 4Stefek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartunekStefekB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.935.5+1.4per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 661 vs 584 / 122751.4%47.6%340 / 661 vs 584 / 1227Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekBartunek 1.83/Stefek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bartunek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 23:00R. Bartunek4396111162M. Stefek45111166113
LAug 25 · 23:00R. Bartunek218940M. Stefek331111113
LAug 22 · 03:28R. Bartunek54810161192M. Stefek531112145113
WAug 22 · 02:30R. Bartunek44111111113M. Stefek31913361
WAug 21 · 24:00R. Bartunek331111113M. Stefek237970
WAug 13 · 02:00R. Bartunek501110611123M. Stefek44312118102
LAug 10 · 20:30R. Bartunek46511101192M. Stefek47119124113
LAug 6 · 22:00R. Bartunek269890M. Stefek331111113
LJun 6 · 01:30R. Bartunek195860M. Stefek331111113
WJun 3 · 21:30R. Bartunek331111113M. Stefek135530
R. Bartunek10
LSep 15 · 01:30V. Dolezal1.57411311113R. Bartunek2.2511311692LSep 15 · 24:00R. Bartunek1.365101171V. Kosar3.0011127113WSep 14 · 23:00T. Regner2.50111110772R. Bartunek1.50561211113LSep 11 · 03:00O. Vitrovyj2.381111133R. Bartunek1.5356110LSep 11 · 02:30R. Bartunek2.6371240K. Darin1.441114113LSep 11 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj2.75111222113R. Bartunek1.406102491LSep 11 · 24:00R. Bartunek4.003780F. Briza1.221111113WSep 10 · 23:00T. Regner2.5011811452R. Bartunek1.50911111113WSep 8 · 02:59R. Bartunek1.6171112113J. Framberk2.201141071WSep 8 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.73151311123J. Framberk2.0013157101
M. Stefek10
LSep 15 · 01:00V. Kosar2.0011911203M. Stefek1.738116181LSep 14 · 23:30M. Stefek2.6366111172V. Dolezal1.44111177113WSep 14 · 22:00M. Stefek1.911111153T. Regner1.8088130LSep 14 · 09:00M. Stefek2.008730A. Svoboda1.731111113LSep 14 · 08:30M. Stefek3.257490J. Jnr1.331111113WSep 14 · 07:00M. Stefek2.25111111113A. Svoboda1.57413751LSep 14 · 06:00K. Darin1.44911911133M. Stefek2.63117112112WSep 13 · 13:00M. Stefek1.90101111113M. Ulrych1.80123851LSep 13 · 12:00M. Ulrych1.6111127113M. Stefek2.209101181LSep 13 · 11:00V. Dolezal1.4411611113M. Stefek2.63911361
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