TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124920
Played Sep 13Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711116115112––
David Barton
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · David Barton below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 64 set 4, 11-2
64 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 2–5 David Barton Vaclav Dolezal has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 1h before this match
Barton beat Dolezal 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Barton)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 2.63 / Barton 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Barton)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124920
Dolezal2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 33 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Barton1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDolezal2wins
AwayBarton5wins
4 of 7 to a deciderBarton leads 5–2, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezaln = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBarton71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal0Barton7n = 7Barton took 7 of 7
S2Dolezal3Barton4n = 7Barton took 4 of 7
S3Dolezal3Barton4n = 7Barton took 4 of 7
S4Dolezal4Barton2n = 6Dolezal took 4 of 6
S5Dolezal2Barton2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricDolezalBartonD − BBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set07−7of 7Avg pointsper match42.045.0−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 776 vs 134 / 26249.4%51.2%383 / 776 vs 134 / 262Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonDolezal 2.63/Barton 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 13 · 12:30V. Dolezal4371161182D. Barton47119115113
LSep 13 · 07:30V. Dolezal419141351D. Barton49111611113
LAug 20 · 01:00V. Dolezal2798100D. Barton341111123
WMar 8 · 11:30V. Dolezal527121111113D. Barton4211144942
LMar 8 · 07:00V. Dolezal4010911101D. Barton4212117123
LDec 7 · 07:30V. Dolezal4281141182D. Barton50118119113
WNov 23 · 09:00V. Dolezal491011412123D. Barton511281110102
V. Dolezal10
LSep 13 · 12:30V. Dolezal2.3871161182D. Barton1.53119115113WSep 13 · 11:00V. Dolezal1.4411611113M. Stefek2.63911361WSep 13 · 10:00M. Ulrych2.007370V. Dolezal1.731111113WSep 13 · 09:07M. Stefek10.0043111632V. Dolezal1.031111914113WSep 13 · 08:30M. Stefek2.75411118132V. Dolezal1.40115511153LSep 13 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.389141351D. Barton1.53111611113LSep 13 · 06:30D. Horak1.2891111113V. Dolezal3.50113861LSep 12 · 02:58R. Urban1.5371111113V. Dolezal2.38118981LSep 12 · 02:30R. Urban1.731111143V. Dolezal2.0084120WSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek2.63134371V. Dolezal1.44111111113
D. Barton10
WSep 13 · 12:30V. Dolezal2.3871161182D. Barton1.53119115113WSep 13 · 11:30D. Barton1.801111133M. Ulrych1.9117110LSep 13 · 10:30M. Stefek2.50119116113D. Barton1.5041191182LSep 13 · 09:29D. Horak1.931311113D. Barton1.7811680WSep 13 · 08:00D. Barton2.20761111113D. Horak1.6111117152WSep 13 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.389141351D. Barton1.53111611113LSep 13 · 06:00D. Barton1.3087130M. Stefek3.401111153LAug 20 · 02:58T. Regner1.83125911123D. Barton1.831011115102LAug 20 · 02:00D. Barton1.611311119102T. Regner2.20155811123WAug 20 · 01:00D. Barton1.611111123V. Dolezal2.2098100
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