TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124291
Played Sep 13Finished
David Horak
Home
1.93
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311116118––––
David Barton
Away
1.78
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDavid Horak above · David Barton below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 60 set 3, 11-8
60 points played in total.
H2H David Horak 0–2 David Barton David Horak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Barton beat Horak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Barton)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 1.93 / Barton 1.78
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Barton)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124291
Horak1.93
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 21 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Barton1.78
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHorak0wins
AwayBarton2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderBarton leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHorakBartonH − BBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.047.5−5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 515 vs 132 / 25853.8%51.2%277 / 515 vs 132 / 258Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonHorak 1.93/Barton 1.78
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Horak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 13 · 08:00D. Horak3511117152D. Barton46761111113
LDec 5 · 17:00D. Horak49981111102D. Barton49111187123
D. Horak10
LSep 13 · 08:00D. Barton2.20761111113D. Horak1.6111117152WSep 13 · 07:00M. Stefek4.50138941D. Horak1.17111111113WSep 13 · 06:30D. Horak1.2891111113V. Dolezal3.50113861LSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 01:30D. Horak2.50116971Y. Holovatiuk1.5071111113WSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:30D. Horak1.801011691K. Darin1.9112811113LSep 4 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.571111113D. Horak2.259470WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk1.6751181182D. Horak2.10113118113
D. Barton10
WSep 13 · 08:00D. Barton2.20761111113D. Horak1.6111117152WSep 13 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.389141351D. Barton1.53111611113LSep 13 · 06:00D. Barton1.3087130M. Stefek3.401111153LAug 20 · 02:58T. Regner1.83125911123D. Barton1.831011115102LAug 20 · 02:00D. Barton1.611311119102T. Regner2.20155811123WAug 20 · 01:00D. Barton1.611111123V. Dolezal2.2098100LAug 20 · 24:00J. Didi1.831411113D. Barton1.8312780WAug 19 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.5013880D. Barton2.501511113LAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113
Upcoming Matches
D. Horak
Nothing scheduled
D. Barton
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