TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119958
Played Sep 13Finished
David Barton
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711611117111115
David Horak
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:05 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Barton to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Barton above · David Horak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 81 set 5, 11-5 — our read held David Barton at 57.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H David Barton 1–1 David Horak Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:05What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Horak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Barton 1379 vs Horak 1451
Horak
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 40% vs Horak 60%
Horak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 40% vs Horak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton +1 · Horak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Horak) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 2.20 / Horak 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Horak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119958
Barton2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog22% won 11 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Horak1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 135 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it95% 76 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it81% 103 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBarton1wins
AwayHorak1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBartonHorakB − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.542.0−0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 257 vs 277 / 51451%53.9%131 / 257 vs 277 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakBarton 2.20/Horak 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LDec 13 · 15:00D. Barton347125101D. Horak3511101132
WDec 5 · 17:00D. Barton49111187123D. Horak49981111102
D. Barton10
WSep 13 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.389141351D. Barton1.53111611113LSep 13 · 06:00D. Barton1.3087130M. Stefek3.401111153LAug 20 · 02:58T. Regner1.83125911123D. Barton1.831011115102LAug 20 · 02:00D. Barton1.611311119102T. Regner2.20155811123WAug 20 · 01:00D. Barton1.611111123V. Dolezal2.2098100LAug 20 · 24:00J. Didi1.831411113D. Barton1.8312780WAug 19 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.5013880D. Barton2.501511113LAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113
D. Horak10
WSep 13 · 07:00M. Stefek4.50138941D. Horak1.17111111113WSep 13 · 06:30D. Horak1.2891111113V. Dolezal3.50113861LSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 01:30D. Horak2.50116971Y. Holovatiuk1.5071111113WSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:30D. Horak1.801011691K. Darin1.9112811113LSep 4 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.571111113D. Horak2.259470WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk1.6751181182D. Horak2.10113118113WSep 4 · 15:00K. Darin1.917911101D. Horak1.8011118123
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