TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124847
Played Sep 14Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1179111311118––
Vaclav Kosar
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:10 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Vaclav Kosar below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 81 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 65.2%
81 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 5–1 Vaclav Kosar Vaclav Kosar has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Dolezal
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1395 vs Kosar 1395
Kosar
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 80% vs Kosar 60%
Dolezal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 50% vs Kosar 70%
Kosar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +1 · Kosar +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.33 / Kosar 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Dolezal)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124847
Dolezal1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 136 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 101 of 122
Kosar3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 58 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back31% 20 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDolezal5wins
AwayKosar1wins
Dolezal leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal83.3%5 of 6
AwayKosarn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal6Kosar0n = 6Dolezal took 6 of 6
S2Dolezal5Kosar1n = 6Dolezal took 5 of 6
S3Dolezal3Kosar3n = 6split evenly
S4Dolezal2Kosar1n = 3Dolezal took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricDolezalKosarD − KBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match37.829.5+8.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalKosarBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 773 vs 221 / 42649.3%51.9%381 / 773 vs 221 / 426Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.33/Kosar 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 8 · 24:00V. Dolezal4312119113V. Kosar391091191
WAug 5 · 10:30V. Dolezal45111310113V. Kosar419111291
WJul 3 · 18:00V. Dolezal331111113V. Kosar184590
WJun 3 · 18:00V. Dolezal331111113V. Kosar142660
WJan 9 · 14:30V. Dolezal341112113V. Kosar2481060
LJan 9 · 13:00V. Dolezal391191181V. Kosar4161113113
V. Dolezal10
WSep 13 · 13:29V. Dolezal2.6371111113D. Barton1.44116521LSep 13 · 12:30V. Dolezal2.3871161182D. Barton1.53119115113WSep 13 · 11:00V. Dolezal1.4411611113M. Stefek2.63911361WSep 13 · 10:00M. Ulrych2.007370V. Dolezal1.731111113WSep 13 · 09:07M. Stefek10.0043111632V. Dolezal1.031111914113WSep 13 · 08:30M. Stefek2.75411118132V. Dolezal1.40115511153LSep 13 · 07:30V. Dolezal2.389141351D. Barton1.53111611113LSep 13 · 06:30D. Horak1.2891111113V. Dolezal3.50113861LSep 12 · 02:58R. Urban1.5371111113V. Dolezal2.38118981LSep 12 · 02:30R. Urban1.731111143V. Dolezal2.0084120
V. Kosar10
WSep 10 · 21:30P. Berdych1.5531191162V. Kosar2.30118117113WSep 10 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00122811113M. Novotny1.73101111762LSep 10 · 19:30P. Berdych1.911111113V. Kosar1.809790WSep 10 · 18:00V. Kosar1.611111113J. Strnad2.205390LSep 9 · 03:30A. Svoboda1.551111113V. Kosar2.308570LSep 9 · 02:00M. Novak1.5717119113V. Kosar2.251561111WSep 9 · 24:30V. Kosar2.00941111113L. Sulava1.7311113242WSep 8 · 23:00V. Kosar2.63115611113A. Svoboda1.4471111682WSep 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.737690V. Kosar2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113
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