TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13148803
Played Sep 17Finished
Rotislav Hasmanda
Home
2.45
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118811411––
Vaclav Kosar
Away
1.48
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeVaclav Kosar to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Vaclav Kosar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 73 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Vaclav Kosar at 60.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 7–9 Vaclav Kosar Rotislav Hasmanda has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Kosar beat Hasmanda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.48 (62%)
Kosar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Kosar
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1350 vs Kosar 1426
Kosar
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 40% vs Kosar 80%
Kosar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 30% vs Kosar 80%
Kosar
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda +2 · Kosar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kosar) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 2.45 / Kosar 1.48
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Kosar)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13148803
Hasmanda2.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 57 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Kosar1.48
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 51 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda3wins
AwayKosar7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKosar leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda60%3 of 5
AwayKosar100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda5Kosar5n = 10split evenly
S2Hasmanda4Kosar6n = 10Kosar took 6 of 10
S3Hasmanda5Kosar5n = 10split evenly
S4Hasmanda1Kosar5n = 6Kosar took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaKosarH − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.336.8−3.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaKosarBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 782 vs 218 / 42148.9%51.8%382 / 782 vs 218 / 421Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosarHasmanda 2.45/Kosar 1.48
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Kosar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 18:00R. Hasmanda30551191V. Kosar4011117113
LSep 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda227690V. Kosar331111113
WAug 22 · 01:00R. Hasmanda331111113V. Kosar269980
LAug 11 · 24:00R. Hasmanda4011111531V. Kosar4913817113
LJul 14 · 02:00R. Hasmanda2759130V. Kosar371111153
WJul 6 · 16:58R. Hasmanda4111811113V. Kosar28211781
LJul 6 · 16:30R. Hasmanda3512011842V. Kosar511011811113
LJun 30 · 01:00R. Hasmanda40175991V. Kosar48151111113
WJun 23 · 24:00R. Hasmanda331111113V. Kosar166370
LJun 18 · 13:30R. Hasmanda325116101V. Kosar4011611123
R. Hasmanda10
WSep 17 · 20:30R. Hasmanda2.201211113M. Stefek1.6110450WSep 17 · 19:00R. Hasmanda1.3611117113L. Sulava3.00681171LSep 17 · 18:00V. Kosar1.6111117113R. Hasmanda2.20551191LSep 17 · 02:30M. Novak1.83411511113R. Hasmanda1.8311911872LSep 17 · 01:00J. Framberk1.91811911113R. Hasmanda1.8011411592LSep 16 · 23:30R. Hasmanda2.755770T. Regner1.401111113LSep 16 · 22:00R. Hasmanda2.0094100M. Stefek1.731111123LSep 10 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.281113113R. Hasmanda3.5061170WSep 10 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.61111107113V. Dolezal2.2089111152LSep 10 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.911081181M. Stefek1.8012116113
V. Kosar10
LSep 17 · 20:00V. Kosar2.10991191L. Sulava1.6711119113WSep 17 · 19:30M. Stefek1.83771491V. Kosar1.83111112113WSep 17 · 18:00V. Kosar1.6111117113R. Hasmanda2.20551191WSep 15 · 03:30V. Dolezal1.558360V. Kosar2.351111113WSep 15 · 02:00V. Kosar2.751112113T. Regner1.4021090WSep 15 · 01:00V. Kosar2.0011911203M. Stefek1.738116181WSep 15 · 24:00R. Bartunek1.365101171V. Kosar3.0011127113LSep 14 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.3311913113V. Kosar3.257111181WSep 10 · 21:30P. Berdych1.5531191162V. Kosar2.30118117113WSep 10 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00122811113M. Novotny1.73101111762
Upcoming Matches
R. Hasmanda
Nothing scheduled
V. Kosar
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