TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140414
Played Sep 17Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911911119911––
Lubor Sulava
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Kosar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Lubor Sulava below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vaclav Kosar at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 7–12 Lubor Sulava Vaclav Kosar has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 13:12What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sulava
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Sulava
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1439 vs Sulava 1386
Kosar
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 100% vs Sulava 40%
Kosar
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 80% vs Sulava 50%
Kosar
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar +5 · Sulava -2
Kosar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulava) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 2.10 / Sulava 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kosar)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140414
Kosar2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 62 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back31% 20 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Sulava1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 114 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it94% 63 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it82% 83 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosar4wins
AwaySulava6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSulava leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosar60%3 of 5
AwaySulava80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar5Sulava5n = 10split evenly
S2Kosar4Sulava6n = 10Sulava took 6 of 10
S3Kosar4Sulava6n = 10Sulava took 6 of 10
S4Kosar2Sulava4n = 6Sulava took 4 of 6
S5Kosar2Sulava1n = 3Kosar took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosarSulavaK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.134.6+1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarSulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 420 vs 475 / 95951.9%49.5%218 / 420 vs 475 / 959Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosarKosar 2.10/Sulava 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sulava · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 24:30V. Kosar46941111113L. Sulava3111113242
WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar361411113L. Sulava2712960
WAug 22 · 03:00V. Kosar521181111113L. Sulava4051113922
LAug 21 · 22:30V. Kosar2671090L. Sulava341112113
LAug 10 · 22:30V. Kosar1743100L. Sulava341111123
WAug 7 · 22:30V. Kosar341112113L. Sulava2371060
LAug 5 · 12:00V. Kosar33791161L. Sulava4011117113
LJul 24 · 14:30V. Kosar34115991L. Sulava4071111113
LJul 13 · 22:30V. Kosar50111199102L. Sulava39321111123
LJun 2 · 01:00V. Kosar33611881L. Sulava3811511113
V. Kosar10
WSep 17 · 19:30M. Stefek1.83771491V. Kosar1.83111112113WSep 17 · 18:00V. Kosar1.6111117113R. Hasmanda2.20551191WSep 15 · 03:30V. Dolezal1.558360V. Kosar2.351111113WSep 15 · 02:00V. Kosar2.751112113T. Regner1.4021090WSep 15 · 01:00V. Kosar2.0011911203M. Stefek1.738116181WSep 15 · 24:00R. Bartunek1.365101171V. Kosar3.0011127113LSep 14 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.3311913113V. Kosar3.257111181WSep 10 · 21:30P. Berdych1.5531191162V. Kosar2.30118117113WSep 10 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00122811113M. Novotny1.73101111762LSep 10 · 19:30P. Berdych1.911111113V. Kosar1.809790
L. Sulava10
LSep 17 · 21:00L. Sulava1.807118111M. Stefek1.9111211133LSep 17 · 19:00R. Hasmanda1.3611117113L. Sulava3.00681171LSep 17 · 18:30L. Sulava1.9111991182M. Stefek1.80711116113WSep 16 · 17:00L. Sulava2.00111117113J. Pleskot1.7361161162LSep 16 · 16:00T. Regner1.9111118113L. Sulava1.80481191WSep 16 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.83351191L. Sulava1.8311119113LSep 16 · 14:30L. Sulava1.833650T. Nohejl1.831111113WSep 15 · 17:30L. Sulava1.8581111113M. Barta1.85115861WSep 15 · 16:30L. Havel3.004870L. Sulava1.361111113LSep 15 · 15:30L. Sulava2.2011811362T. Nohejl1.61711511113
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