TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135973
Played Sep 15Finished
Lubor Sulava
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811115118116––
Miroslav Barta
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 8–7 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sulava beat Barta 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:58What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Barta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulava 1433 vs Barta 1344
Sulava
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulava 80% vs Barta 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulava 50% vs Barta 70%
Barta
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulava +1 · Barta +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulava) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 1.85 / Barta 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulava)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135973
Sulava1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Barta1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulava6wins
AwayBarta4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSulava leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulava83.3%5 of 6
AwayBarta75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava6Barta4n = 10Sulava took 6 of 10
S2Sulava6Barta4n = 10Sulava took 6 of 10
S3Sulava7Barta3n = 10Sulava took 7 of 10
S4Sulava2Barta5n = 7Barta took 5 of 7
S5Sulava2Barta2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulavaBartaS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.735.7+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 957 vs 236 / 50749.6%46.6%475 / 957 vs 236 / 507Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulavaSulava 1.85/Barta 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulava · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 14:30L. Sulava52131198113M. Barta45116111162
LSep 6 · 13:30L. Sulava4311711952M. Barta51911911113
WSep 6 · 12:30L. Sulava44111165113M. Barta4377111172
LAug 31 · 17:30L. Sulava43411111162M. Barta51118813113
WAug 31 · 14:30L. Sulava4291111113M. Barta25118421
WAug 30 · 16:00L. Sulava3611311113M. Barta26711441
WAug 29 · 11:00L. Sulava381116113M. Barta2751480
LAug 23 · 16:59L. Sulava28117100M. Barta361311123
LAug 23 · 16:00L. Sulava31951161M. Barta3711114113
WAug 22 · 15:00L. Sulava30111183M. Barta168530
L. Sulava10
WSep 15 · 16:30L. Havel3.004870L. Sulava1.361111113LSep 15 · 15:30L. Sulava2.2011811362T. Nohejl1.61711511113WSep 15 · 14:30M. Barta1.91116111162L. Sulava1.80131198113WSep 13 · 17:29J. Novotny1.338101171L. Sulava3.2511124113WSep 13 · 16:30L. Havel2.753540L. Sulava1.401111113LSep 13 · 15:30L. Sulava2.2011412762J. Novotny1.619111011113WSep 13 · 14:30M. Ulrych1.8069110L. Sulava1.911111133LSep 11 · 09:04L. Sulava1.70911791J. Pleskot2.0211611113LSep 11 · 08:30L. Sulava2.00111011692Z. Zikmunda1.73812611113LSep 11 · 07:00L. Sulava1.6011133822J. Pleskot2.157111111113
M. Barta10
WSep 15 · 16:00T. Nohejl1.61111011892M. Barta2.20112111113WSep 15 · 15:00L. Havel2.385670M. Barta1.531111113LSep 15 · 14:30M. Barta1.91116111162L. Sulava1.80131198113WSep 14 · 21:30J. Framberk1.3015760M. Barta3.401711113WSep 14 · 20:00P. Bruzek1.36711451M. Barta3.0011411113WSep 14 · 19:00M. Novotny1.61911121182M. Barta2.20116147113LSep 14 · 18:30M. Barta2.75811481J. Framberk1.4011511113LSep 14 · 16:59M. Barta1.4081111982L. Havel2.75115711113WSep 14 · 16:30L. Havel2.389960M. Barta1.531111113WSep 14 · 15:30M. Barta1.91115311123J. Pleskot1.80611117102
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